Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 7/6/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Tuesday, July 6, 2021

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN/MASN2

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-196) Baltimore (+150)

Matt Harvey and the Baltimore Orioles (27-57, 5th in AL East) play the Toronto Blue Jays (43-39, 3rd in AL East) at Oriole Park on Tuesday. The Orioles open this matchup at +150 while the Blue Jays are priced at -196. The over/under opens at 10.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Steven Matz and Matt Harvey.

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As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are notching 5.2 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league. They have racked up 423 runs and have an OBP of .328. The Blue Jays have accumulated 139 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 124 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 401 runs batted in as well as 744 hits this season, and their team batting average comes in at .265. Toronto owns a slugging percentage of .452 and have struck out 680 times, while being walked on 250 occasions.

The Blue Jays have an ERA of 3.97 this season (13th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 753 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.90 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26. Blue Jays pitchers have yielded 111 home runs and also 350 total runs (11th in baseball). They have walked 260 opposing players and their FIP is 4.30 as a squad on the year.

The Blue Jays bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 60.0% and has entered the game in 67 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 134 base runners over the course of the season with 29.9% of them ended up scoring. Blue Jays pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 95 times in addition to having 90 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have dispatched 281 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relievers are sitting with 39 holds so far this year (17th in baseball). They have 15 saves this season and have blown 10 out of their 25 save opportunities.

The Toronto Blue Jays have earned 2,150 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 745 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which has them ranked 27th in the majors, and have a total of 540 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 69.9% of balls in play into outs in their 6,450 innings on the field, ranking them 12th in MLB.

Matz has taken the hill for 652 innings and has tallied 630 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.38 (317 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.325. He has allowed 663 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 201 walks. Matz (38-44 career record) holds a FIP of 4.42 while he has faced 2,796 opposing batters in the major leagues.

Baltimore has compiled 95 HRs this year to go along with 335 runs batted in. They have notched 138 two-baggers, while getting a free base 241 times as well as earning 346 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have an OBP of .302 in addition to a batting average of .237 this year. The Orioles have a team SLG% of .393 and they score 4.12 runs per game (21st in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 735 occasions (16th in baseball) and have 663 hits.

The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.464 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.82 as a staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.38 (705 strikeouts vs 296 bases on balls). They sit at 29th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 761. They have conceded 126 homers and they surrender 5.73 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Baltimore pitching staff have conceded 460 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 5.48 (440 earned runs conceded).

Baltimore relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.7% out of 175 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 92 times in high leverage situations and on 112 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 64 save situations, the Orioles have accumulated 35 holds and also 13 blown saves. They rank 26th in the league with a save percentage of 53.6%, and they have dispatched 283 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. Baltimore has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 28 save opportunities and they have walked away with 15 saves.

In 6,504 innings on the diamond, the Orioles have a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (27th in the majors). The Baltimore Orioles have twisted 52 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (7th in MLB). The Orioles have accrued 684 assists, 41 errors and have 2,168 putouts on the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Harvey has given up 908 base knocks and he has 830 punch outs in 911 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 445 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.284 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.17 and he has gone up against 3,863 hitters in his MLB career. Harvey (47-61 career mark) is the owner of a 4.40 ERA and has conceded 9.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-196)

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