Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, April 21, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+108) Boston (-118)

Garrett Richards and the Boston Red Sox (11-6, 1st in AL East) play the Toronto Blue Jays (7-9, 4th in AL East) at Fenway Park on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has the Blue Jays priced at +108 and the Red Sox are at -118. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Anthony Kay and Garrett Richards.

The Blue Jays have tallied 17 doubles as a team and have knocked 19 balls out of the park. Toronto has a slugging percentage of .375 and have been called out on strikes 142 times, while being walked on 44 occasions. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 4.1 runs per contest, which puts them at 18th in the league. They have 60 runs batted in and 121 hits this season, while their batting average comes in at .230. They have 66 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .298.

Blue Jays pitchers have relinquished 17 long balls and 57 runs in total (6th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 50 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.04 as a team so far this year. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.22. The Blue Jays have compiled a team ERA of 3.08 on the season (6th in the league), and the staff has rung up 128 batters.

Blue Jays relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 18 times in addition to having 23 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 3 holds for the season (28th in the league). The Blue Jays relievers have recorded a save percentage of 75.0% and has entered the game in 8 save situations. They have recorded 3 saves for the year and have blown 1 out of their 4 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 23 base runners this season and 39.1% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Blue Jays have sent 54 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a tally of 413 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 155 assists and 8 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them sitting 10th in professional baseball, and they have turned 109 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 1,239 innings on the field, which has them ranked 10th in pro baseball.

Kay has pitched in 38 innings and has totaled 38 K's so far in his MLB career. Kay (3-1 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.79 and he has gone up against 177 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 5.87 (25 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.617. He has given up 43 base hits (10.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 19 walks.

The Boston Red Sox have earned an on-base percentage of .351 and a team batting average of .288 for the year. They have been rung up on 141 occasions (20th in the league) and are sitting with 165 base hits. Boston has accumulated 21 home runs for the year as well as 86 RBIs. The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .468 and they are earning 5.65 runs per contest (2nd in MLB). They have put up 40 two-baggers, while getting a free base 50 times as well as earning 96 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have allowed 68 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.71 (61 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 9 home runs and they allow 4.13 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.310 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.15 as a unit this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.62 (152 strikeouts vs 58 free passes). They rank 24th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 136.

Sitting with 10 save situations, the Red Sox have compiled 6 holds and also 1 blown save. Boston has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 4 save opportunities and they have earned 3 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 19 times in high leverage situations and on 16 occasions with runners on. Boston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 41.7% out of their 24 inherited base runners. They are ranked 7th in the league with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 57 relief pitchers onto the field so far this year.

In 1,335 innings on the field, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.0% (28th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have turned 13 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .980 (22nd in baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 149 assists, 12 errors and have a tally of 445 putouts for the season.

Richards (47-42 career record) has a 3.66 ERA and has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.39 and he has gone up against 3,436 batters so far in his career. He has surrendered 332 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.262 and having a FIP of 3.7. So far in his MLB career, Richards has surrendered 733 base hits while earning 712 K's in 816 innings pitched.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-118) and under 8.5 runs

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