Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/23/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, July 23, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-116) New York (-105)

Tylor Megill and the New York Mets (50-43, 1st in NL East) host the Toronto Blue Jays (48-44, 4th in AL East) at Citi Field on Friday. The Blue Jays open this game at -116 while the Mets are coming in at -105. The total opens at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Hyun Jin Ryu and Tylor Megill.

As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are compiling 5.2 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 3rd in baseball. They have racked up 473 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .328. The Blue Jays have recorded 152 doubles as a team and have hit 141 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 451 runs batted in and 821 base knocks for the season, while their batting average sits at .265. Toronto has a slugging percentage of .456 and have been called out on strikes 742 times, while drawing a walk on 275 occasions.

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Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 125 home runs and 387 runs in total (11th in the league). They have walked 289 opposing players and their FIP is 4.34 as a squad this season. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.91 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26. The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.00 this season (12th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 842 batters.

The Blue Jays relievers have earned a save percentage of 61.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 69 save situations. The relievers have inherited 151 base runners on the campaign and 27.2% of those runners crossed the plate. Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 104 times and also have had 91 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 312 relievers to the mound for the season. The bullpen have accumulated 40 holds this year (25th in the league). They have earned 16 saves this season and have blown 10 of their 26 save opportunities.

The Blue Jays have transformed 70.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,116 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 11th in pro baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated 2,372 putouts thus far, as well as 806 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which ranks 23rd in MLB, and have earned 596 double plays.

Ryu has taken the mound for 913 innings and is sitting with 822 punch outs during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.00 (304 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.159. He has surrendered 853 base knocks (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 205 walks. Ryu (68-40 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.37 while he has gone up against 3,728 batters in the major leagues.

New York has hit 101 home runs this year to go along with 345 RBIs. They have 120 two-baggers, while taking a walk 293 times and putting up 360 runs. The New York Mets hold an OBP of .314 as well as a team batting average of .234 on the campaign. The Mets have a team SLG% of .384 and they score 3.91 runs per contest (29th in the league). They have struck out on 794 occasions (22nd in the league) and have accounted for 679 hits.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 352 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.53 (304 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 93 dingers and they concede 4.09 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.207 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.76 as a team on the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.08 (842 strikeouts against 273 free passes). They are currently ranked 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 661.

New York has had relievers enter the contest in 41 save opportunities and they have earned 26 saves. They sit at 10th in the league with a save rate of 63.4%, and they have sent 288 relief pitchers onto the diamond this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 92 times in high leverage situations and on 74 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of their 111 inherited runners. With 81 save situations, the Mets have 39 holds in addition to 15 blown saves.

In 6,969 innings played, the Mets have a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (13th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have turned 72 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (20th in MLB). The Mets have 741 assists, 53 errors and have accumulated 2,323 putouts for the season.

In his MLB career, Megill has allowed 20 base knocks and he has 28 punch outs in 24 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 7 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.208 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.11 and he has gone up against 101 opposing hitters in his MLB career. Megill (0-0 win-loss record in his career) has a 2.63 ERA while conceding 7.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-105)

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