Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 4/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Date: Thursday, April 1, 2021

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+153) New York (-163)

Yankee Stadium is the site where Gerrit Cole and the New York Yankees (33-27, 2nd in AL East last year) will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (32-28, 3rd in AL East last season) on Thursday. The line on this game has the Blue Jays priced at +153 and the Yankees are at -163. The over/under is set at 9.5. The men taking the mound will be Hyun Jin Ryu and Gerrit Cole.

As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays recorded 5.0 runs per game last season, which had them at 7th in MLB. They accumulated 302 runs scored and held an OBP of .325. The Blue Jays accounted for 104 two-baggers as a squad and hit 88 baseballs out of the stadium. They tallied 288 runs batted in in addition to 516 hits last season, and their batting average sat at .255. Toronto had a slugging rate of .441 and struck out 508 times, while being walked on 203 occasions.

The Blue Jays had a team ERA of 4.60 over the course of last season (17th in the league), and their staff struck out 519 hitters. They had a K/BB ratio of 2.08 and their pitching staff had a team WHIP of 1.46. Blue Jays pitchers conceded 81 home runs and also 312 total runs (6th in MLB). Their pitching staff walked 250 batters and their FIP finished at 4.73 as a unit last season. The Blue Jays had dispatched 226 relievers to the mound over the course of last season. The relievers inherited 129 runners over the course of last season and 26.4% of them earned a run for their team. They had 17 saves last season and blew 12 of their 29 save chances. The Blue Jays relievers recorded a save percentage of 58.6% and came into the game in 67 save situations. The bullpen had a total of 35 holds last year (9th in MLB). Blue Jays pitchers went to the mound with runners on base in 76 outings in addition to 87 games with high leverage.

Ryu held a FIP of 3.01 and he earned an ERA+ of 162. Hyun Jin Ryu surrendered 60 base knocks in 67 innings in which he pitched last season. He gave up 20 earned runs last season with a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.2. He allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and his WHIP was at 1.149. His ERA was 2.69 and he punched out 72 batters. Ryu has thrown 807 innings and has totaled 737 strikeouts so far in his career. His ERA is 2.95 (265 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.163. He has conceded 758 base hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 181 free passes. Ryu (59-35 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.30 and he has gone up against 3,301 batters in the major leagues.

New York had 94 home runs for the previous season to go along with 301 RBIs. They tallied 87 doubles, while walking 251 times as well as recording 315 runs. The New York Yankees earned an OBP of .342 and a batting average of .247 in the previous season. The Yankees held a team slugging % of .447 and they averaged 5.25 runs per game (4th in MLB). They struck out on 480 instances (23rd in the league) and were sitting with 473 hits.

The Yankees finished with a team WHIP of 1.246 with a FIP of 4.39 as a pitching staff last year. They ranked 21st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 455. The New York pitching staff surrendered 270 runs last year and come in with a team ERA of 4.35 (242 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio came in at 3.14 (528 strikeouts vs 168 walks). They conceded 83 dingers and they relinquished 4.86 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). Finishing with 24 save opportunities, the Yankees had 16 holds and 10 blown saves. New York had relief pitchers enter the game in 42 save situations and they converted 14 saves. Their relievers took the field in 50 games with high leverage and also 54 games with runners on base. New York relievers held an inherited score percentage of 33.0% out of 87 inherited runners. They were sitting at 18th in baseball with a save percentage of 58.3%, and they sent 175 relievers to the hill last year.

Cole had a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.5 with 94 total K's and he held an ERA+ of 149. His WHIP was 0.96 and he earned a FIP of 3.89 throughout last year. He took the hill for 73.0 innings last year while surrendering 6.5 hits per 9 innings. Cole gave up 53 total hits while conceding 23 earned runs (2.84 ERA). During his MLB career, Cole has allowed 1,087 base knocks while earning 1,430 K's in 1,268 frames. He has allowed a total of 450 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.119 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.31 and he has faced 5,131 hitters during his pro baseball career. Cole (101-55 career record) has a 3.19 ERA and has conceded 7.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (+153)

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