Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/26/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, September 26, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+195) Cincinnati (-278)

Josh Rogers and the Washington Nationals (64-90, 5th in NL East) travel to Great American Ball Park on Sunday where they'll meet the Cincinnati Reds (79-75, 3rd in NL Central). The moneyline on this game has the Nationals coming in at +195 and the Reds are at -278. The over/under opens at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Josh Rogers and Tyler Mahle.

Washington has a slugging rate of .421 and have struck out 1,232 times, while drawing a walk on 531 occasions. They have accounted for 659 RBI's as well as 1,325 hits on the year, and their average at the plate sits at .259. The Nationals have accounted for 256 doubles as a team and have hit 177 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 695 runs while holding a team OBP of .336. As a squad, the Washington Nationals are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which has them at 16th in MLB.

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Nationals pitchers have conceded 235 home runs and also 771 total runs (23rd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 501 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.82 as a unit on the campaign. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.34. The Nationals have a team earned run average of 4.72 over the course of the season (22nd in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,281 hitters.

The Nationals relievers have a save percentage of 50.7% and stepped onto the hill in 164 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 200 runners this year and 39.0% of them crossed the plate. Nationals bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 138 times in addition to having 168 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have sent 535 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have a total of 93 holds this season (6th in the league). They have 35 saves for the year and have missed out on 34 out of their 69 save opportunities.

The Washington Nationals are sitting with 3,979 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,295 assists and 91 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which ranks 22nd in pro baseball, and they have turned 1,112 double plays. The Nationals have converted 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,934 innings, which ranks them 15th in MLB.

Rogers has pitched in 51 innings and has 27 K's during his career. Rogers (3-3 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 6.59 while facing 224 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 5.47 (31 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.392. He has given up 53 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has 18 free passes.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned a team OBP of .327 as well as a team batting average of .248 on the campaign. They have been called out on strikes on 1,365 occasions (12th in the league) and have tallied 1,277 hits. Cincinnati has a total of 208 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 711 RBIs. The Reds hold a team slugging percentage of .427 and they are earning 4.81 runs per game (9th in baseball). They have tallied 274 two-baggers, while taking a walk 523 times as well as scoring 741 runs.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.346 and have a FIP of 4.33 as a unit this year. They are currently ranked 15th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,255. The Cincinnati pitching staff have relinquished 718 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.35 (661 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.48 (1,448 strikeouts against 584 free passes). They have given up 196 home runs and they relinquish 4.73 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league).

Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score percentage of 38.2% out of their 228 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 181 times in high leverage situations in addition to 154 occasions with runners on base. With 142 save situations, the Reds have tallied 73 holds and also 26 blown saves. They are ranked 16th in MLB with a save percentage of 61.2%, and they have sent 547 relievers onto the field this season. Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 67 save opportunities and they have come away with 41 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 117 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (18th in pro baseball). The Reds have racked up 1,349 assists, 86 errors and have 4,099 putouts this year. In 12,297 innings played, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (21st in pro baseball).

Mahle (25-31 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.32 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.85 and he has gone up against 2,070 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed 230 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.336 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. In his pro baseball career, Mahle has given up 461 base knocks and he has 511 strikeouts in 479 innings.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-278) and under 9.5 runs

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