Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/25/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins
Date: Wednesday, August 25, 2021
Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL
TV: Bally Sports Florida
Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+100) Miami (-125)
Jon Gray and the Washington Nationals (53-70, 4th in NL East) head to Marlins Park on Wednesday where they'll meet the Miami Marlins (51-74, 5th in NL East). The line on this game has the Nationals priced at +100 and the Marlins are at -125. The total is set at 7. The men taking the mound are Jon Gray and Elieser Hernandez.
Washington is slugging .417 and have struck out 998 times, while being walked on 398 occasions. They have tallied 517 runs batted in and 1,041 hits this year, while their team batting average is .258. The Nationals have accumulated 196 doubles as a team and have knocked 138 baseballs out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 545 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .333. As a unit, the Washington Nationals are notching 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 17th in MLB.
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The Nationals have compiled a team earned run average of 4.61 for the year (22nd in MLB), and they have rung up 1,003 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 388 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.74 as a team this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.59 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.32. Nationals pitchers have relinquished 180 long balls and also 597 runs in total (19th in MLB).
The Nationals relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 56.0% and stepped onto the hill in 118 save situations. The relievers have inherited 152 runners this season and 39.5% of them ended up scoring. Nationals pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 103 times as well as having 118 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have sent 414 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The bullpen have racked up 66 holds this season (11th in the league). They have 28 saves so far this year and have missed out on 22 of their 50 chances to save the game.
The Nationals have converted 70.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 9,462 innings, ranking them 12th in pro baseball. The Washington Nationals have earned 3,154 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,044 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .982 which puts them in 27th in baseball, and they have turned 884 double plays.
Gray (52-47 career record) has a FIP of 3.86 while he has gone up against 3,443 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 802 base knocks (9.0 hits per 9 innings) with 272 walks. His ERA is 4.52 (404 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.335. Gray has taken the mound for 804 innings and has accumulated 815 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.
The Marlins hold a team SLG% of .377 and they score 3.99 runs per game (26th in baseball). They have 183 two-baggers, while walking 358 times and scoring 499 runs. Miami has tallied 123 long balls so far this year to go along with 475 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,201 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have recorded 981 hits. The Miami Marlins have an on-base percentage of .303 as well as a batting average of .236 on the season.
The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.270 and have a FIP of 4.01 as a team on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.57 (1,061 strikeouts vs 413 bases on balls). They come in at 11th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 974. They have given up 123 home runs and they relinquish 4.40 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have allowed 534 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.96 (480 earned runs surrendered).
With 106 save situations, the Marlins have 60 holds and 23 blown saves. Miami has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 46 save chances and they have converted 23 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 133 times in high leverage situations and on 90 occasions with runners on base. Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 38.1% out of 139 inherited runners. They rank 29th in baseball with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 459 relievers to the hill on the campaign.
In their 9,828 innings played, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (17th in MLB). The Miami Marlins have turned 111 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in pro baseball). The Marlins have racked up 1,108 assists, 84 errors and have notched a total of 3,276 putouts this season.
Hernandez (6-13 record in his career) has earned a 4.76 earned run average while surrendering 8.4 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.00 and he has faced 815 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 101 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.257 and having a FIP of 5.3. So far in his career, Hernandez has conceded 179 base knocks and he has 183 punch outs in 191 frames.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+100)
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