Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/26/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins
Date: Thursday, August 26, 2021
Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL
TV: Bally Sports Florida
Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+105) Miami (-132)
Elieser Hernandez and the Miami Marlins (51-75, 5th in NL East) host the Washington Nationals (54-70, 4th in NL East) at Marlins Park on Thursday. The Marlins open this game at -132 while the Nationals are priced at +105. The O/U opens at 7. The expected starting pitchers will be Patrick Corbin and Elieser Hernandez.
As a squad, the Washington Nationals are earning 4.4 runs per game, which ranks them 16th in the league. They are sitting with 550 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .334. The Nationals have hit 198 doubles as a unit and have hit 140 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 522 RBI's in addition to 1,052 base knocks on the year, while their batting average comes in at .259. Washington has a slugging rate of .418 and have struck out 1,006 times, while drawing a walk on 401 occasions.
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The Nationals have compiled a team earned run average of 4.58 this year (21st in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,019 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 389 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.71 as a team for the year. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.62 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.32. Nationals pitchers have relinquished 180 long balls and 598 total runs (19th in MLB).
The Nationals have sent 417 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relievers have inherited 154 base runners on the season with 39.6% of those players ended up scoring. They have compiled 28 saves on the year and have blown 22 of their 50 save opportunities. The Nationals relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 56.0% and has come into the game in 118 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 66 holds this year (12th in MLB). Nationals relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 104 times in addition to having 118 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Nationals have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 9,543 innings on the field, which ranks them 12th in pro baseball. The Washington Nationals are sitting with 3,181 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,049 assists and 78 errors. Their fielding rate is at .982 which has them sitting 27th in the majors, and they have twisted 890 double plays.
Corbin (79-80 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.82 and he has faced 5,703 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 1,342 base knocks (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 400 free passes. His earned run average is 4.04 (604 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.294. Corbin has thrown 1,346 frames and is sitting with 1,302 punch outs thus far in his career.
The Marlins have a team SLG% of .376 and they are scoring 3.97 runs per outing (27th in the league). They have notched 184 two-baggers, while taking a walk 359 times and scoring 500 runs. Miami is sitting with 123 home runs this year to go along with 476 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,217 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have accounted for 989 base hits. The Miami Marlins have compiled a team OBP of .302 in addition to a batting average of .236 for the year.
The Miami pitching staff have relinquished 539 runs on the season while having an ERA of 3.96 (485 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 125 dingers and they relinquish 4.41 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.272 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.02 as a team so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.57 (1,069 strikeouts vs 416 walks). They come in at 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 985.
Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 37.9% out of their 140 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 133 times in high leverage situations and also on 91 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 106 save situations, the Marlins have accrued 60 holds and 23 blown saves. They are currently ranked 29th in MLB with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have sent 462 relievers to the hill for the season. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 46 save chances and they have earned 23 saves.
Out of their 9,909 innings on the field, the Marlins are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (18th in the majors). The Miami Marlins have turned 112 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in the majors). The Marlins have recorded 1,119 assists, 84 errors and are sitting with 3,303 putouts on the season.
During his career, Hernandez has given up 179 base hits while earning 183 K's in 191 innings pitched. Hernandez (6-13 career record) has a 4.76 ERA while allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 101 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.257 and a FIP of 5.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.00 and he has faced 815 hitters in his pro baseball career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+105)
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