Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/22/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Date: Wednesday, September 22, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (-125) Miami (+100)

Marlins Park is the site where Elieser Hernandez and the Miami Marlins (64-86, 4th in NL East) will play the Washington Nationals (61-89, 5th in NL East) on Wednesday. The Marlins open this matchup at +100 while the Nationals are coming in at -125. The total opens at 7. The pitchers taking the mound are Jon Gray and Elieser Hernandez.

The Nationals have earned 244 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 170 baseballs out of the park. Washington has a slugging percentage of .419 and have struck out 1,191 times, while drawing a walk on 511 occasions. As a squad, the Washington Nationals are earning 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 16th in MLB. They have tallied 635 runs batted in and 1,286 hits on the season, and their team batting average is at .259. They are sitting with 671 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .336.

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Nationals pitchers have yielded 228 home runs and 755 runs in total (25th in the league). They have walked 489 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.81 as a squad this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.55 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.35. The Nationals are sitting with a team ERA of 4.74 on the year (23rd in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,248 batters.

Nationals pitchers have come into the game with runners on 132 times and also have had 162 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 90 holds over the course of the season (5th in baseball). The Nationals relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 50.0% and stepped onto the hill in 158 save situations. They have accumulated 33 saves on the campaign and have blown 33 out of their 66 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 194 base runners for the season with 39.2% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Nationals have sent 518 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Washington Nationals have a tally of 3,868 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,260 assists and 91 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which puts them in 24th in baseball, and have a total of 1,081 double plays. The Nationals have turned 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,601 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 16th in baseball.

Gray has thrown 820 frames and has earned 837 K's in his pro baseball career. Gray (53-48 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.86 and he has gone up against 3,516 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.52 (412 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.338. He has allowed 818 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 280 free passes.

The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .375 and they average 3.97 runs per game (27th in the league). They have tallied 215 two-baggers, while getting a free base 421 times and earning 595 runs. Miami has tallied 148 home runs over the course of the season as well as 568 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,450 instances (2nd in MLB) and have a total of 1,167 hits. The Miami Marlins have earned an on-base percentage of .301 and a batting average of .234 so far this year.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.271 and have a FIP of 4.03 as a pitching staff so far this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.55 (1,259 strikeouts vs 493 free passes). They are sitting at 13th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,177. They have given up 149 long balls and they concede 4.37 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have allowed 638 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.88 (566 earned runs yielded).

Miami has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 55 save opportunities and they have earned 30 saves. They are ranked 25th in the league holding a save percentage of 54.5%, and they have dispatched 550 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. Their relievers have come in 176 times in high leverage situations and also on 123 occasions with base runners. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 36.8% of 190 inherited base runners. Sitting with 122 save situations, the Marlins have compiled 67 holds and also 25 blown saves.

Out of their 11,832 innings played, the Marlins have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (20th in the majors). The Miami Marlins have turned 136 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in pro baseball). The Marlins have accrued 1,353 assists, 111 errors and have accounted for 3,944 putouts on the campaign.

Hernandez (7-14 career mark) has earned a 4.62 earned run average while conceding 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.91 and he has faced 927 hitters in his career. He has given up a total of 111 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.276 and having a FIP of 5.2. During his MLB career, Hernandez has given up 206 hits while totaling 204 strikeouts in 216 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+100)

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