Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/6/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres

Date: Tuesday, July 6, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+160) San Diego (-213)

Patrick Corbin and the Washington Nationals (40-42, 3rd in NL East) head to Petco Park on Tuesday where they'll meet the San Diego Padres (50-36, 3rd in NL West). The Nationals open this matchup at +160 while the Padres are coming in at -213. The O/U opens at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Patrick Corbin and Ryan Weathers.

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As a unit, the Washington Nationals are earning 4.0 runs per outing, which ranks them 26th in MLB. They are sitting with 330 runs scored and have an OBP of .323. The Nationals have tallied 120 doubles as a team and have hit 90 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 315 RBI's as well as 665 base knocks for the season, while their batting average is at .250. Washington has a slugging % of .403 and have been rung up 692 times, while taking a walk on 253 occasions.

The Nationals are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.01 over the course of the season (15th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 700 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.73 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23. Nationals pitchers have conceded 104 home runs and 343 total runs (10th in the league). They have walked 256 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.33 as a unit on the campaign.

The Nationals relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 66.7% and has come into the game in 73 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 101 base runners this season with 31.7% of those runners crossed home plate. Nationals pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 67 times in addition to having 69 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have dispatched 275 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relievers have tallied 42 holds on the year (12th in the league). They have 20 saves so far this year and have blown 10 of their 30 save opportunities.

The Nationals have converted 71.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of 6,330 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 5th in baseball. The Washington Nationals have a total of 2,110 putouts this year, as well as 688 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .984 which has them ranked 12th in MLB, and have a total of 596 double plays.

Corbin has taken the hill for 1,300 innings and has racked up 1,265 punch outs in his career. Corbin (77-75 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.75 and he has faced 5,504 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.96 (572 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.291. He has given up 1,291 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) with 388 walks.

The Padres have a team SLG% of .403 and they tally 4.62 runs per contest (12th in baseball). They have hit 125 two-baggers, while walking 332 times as well as earning 397 runs. San Diego has 104 home runs this year as well as 377 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 716 instances (19th in the league) and have a total of 678 base hits. The San Diego Padres have an OBP of .323 in addition to a team batting average of .240 on the campaign.

The San Diego pitching staff have relinquished 311 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.24 (275 earned runs yielded). They have given up 94 long balls and they relinquish 3.67 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB). The Padres are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.170 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.79 as a squad over the course of the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.14 (846 strikeouts vs 269 walks). They have a ranking of 10th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 624.

San Diego has had relievers step onto the mound in 44 save chances and they have earned 29 saves. They are ranked 10th in the league holding a save rate of 65.9%, and they have sent 317 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 83 times in high leverage situations and also on 52 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relievers have an inherited score percentage of 24.3% of 70 inherited base runners. With 100 save situations, the Padres have amassed 54 holds in addition to 15 blown saves.

In 6,870 innings played, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (9th in baseball). The San Diego Padres have twisted 78 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (18th in baseball). The Padres have recorded 737 assists, 52 errors and have earned a total of 2,290 putouts on the campaign.

Thus far in his career, Weathers has given up 40 base knocks while he has totaled 39 K's in 51 innings. He has surrendered a total of 15 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.110 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.29 and he has gone up against 205 hitters so far in his career. Weathers (3-2 mark in his career) has a 2.63 earned run average and has given up 7.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Diego (-213)

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