Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 4/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Location: TD Ballpark in Dunedin, FL

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+140) Toronto (-160)

Erick Fedde and the Washington Nationals (8-11, 5th in NL East) go to TD Ballpark on Wednesday where they'll meet the Toronto Blue Jays (10-11, 3rd in AL East). The moneyline on this game has the Nationals priced at +140 and the Blue Jays are at -160. The total has been set at 9.5. The men taking the mound are Erick Fedde and Steven Matz.

The Nationals have tallied 26 doubles as a unit and have hit 14 balls out of the stadium. Washington has a slugging percentage of .356 and have been called out on strikes 159 times, while drawing a walk on 51 occasions. As a team, the Washington Nationals are earning 3.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 29th in the league. They have 60 RBI's and 148 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .242. They have notched a total of 62 runs and hold an OBP of .308.

The Nationals are sitting with a team ERA of 4.42 on the season (21st in baseball), and their staff has rung up 163 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 68 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.91 as a unit so far this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.40 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.28. Nationals pitchers have conceded 29 long balls and 86 total runs (9th in baseball).

The Nationals have dispatched 65 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 16 base runners over the course of the season and 37.5% of them earned a run for their team. They have 3 saves on the year and have missed out on 1 out of their 4 save opportunities. The Nationals relievers have accumulated a save rate of 75.0% and has entered the game in 11 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 7 holds this season (24th in MLB). Nationals bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 9 times and also have had 13 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Washington Nationals have a tally of 483 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 142 assists and 9 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which ranks 9th in baseball, and have accumulated 137 double plays. The Nationals have transformed 72.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,449 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 4th in professional baseball.

Fedde has pitched in 210 innings and has earned 148 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 5.13 (120 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.507. He has given up 224 base hits (9.6 hits per nine innings) with 93 walks. Fedde (9-13 career record) holds a FIP of 5.37 and he has faced 923 opposing batters in the majors.

Toronto has accumulated 24 home runs this year to go along with 77 runs batted in. They have recorded 21 two-baggers, while taking a walk 62 times as well as scoring 83 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have earned an OBP of .297 and a batting average of .225 on the year. The Blue Jays hold a team slugging % of .363 and they are recording 3.95 runs per outing (20th in baseball). They have struck out on 186 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have recorded 156 base knocks.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.182 in addition to having a FIP of 3.85 as a team so far this year. They have a ranking of 6th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 153. The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 72 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.05 (61 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio is 2.93 (176 strikeouts against 60 free passes). They have given up 22 dingers and they surrender 3.60 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league).

Toronto bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of 33 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 32 times in high leverage situations and on 26 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 21 save situations, the Blue Jays have 12 holds in addition to 1 blown save. They are ranked 4th in MLB holding a save percentage of 85.7%, and they have sent 74 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the season. Toronto has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 7 save chances and they have tallied 6 saves.

Out of their 1,626 innings played, the Blue Jays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (10th in pro baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have twisted 22 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .980 (25th in MLB). The Blue Jays have accrued 200 assists, 15 errors and have earned a total of 542 putouts on the campaign.

During his MLB career, Matz has surrendered 599 hits while earning 577 punch outs in 603 innings pitched. Matz (35-41 career mark) is the owner of a 4.27 ERA while surrendering 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 286 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.305 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.07 and he has faced 2,573 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+140)

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