Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 4/11/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Monday, April 11, 2022

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-105) Detroit (-115)

Comerica Park is the site where the Detroit Tigers (77-85 last year) will try to defeat the Boston Red Sox (92-70 last season) on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at -105 and the Tigers are sitting at -115. The betting total comes in at 9.5. The men taking the mound are Michael Wacha and Tarik Skubal.

The Red Sox tallied 330 doubles as a unit and hit 219 balls out of the park. Boston owned a slugging percentage of .449 and were rung up 1,386 times, while taking a walk on 512 occasions. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox notched 5.1 runs per game, which had them sitting at 4th in MLB. They compiled 783 runs batted in in addition to 1,434 hits in the previous season, while their average at the plate came in at .261. They accounted for 829 runs while holding a team OBP of .328.

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Red Sox pitchers surrendered 176 home runs and 749 total runs (18th in MLB). Their pitching staff walked 546 opposing batters and their FIP was 3.95 as a unit for the previous season. Their K/BB ratio was 2.80 and their pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.38. The Red Sox finished with a team earned run average of 4.26 last year (15th in the league), and the staff struck out 1,527 batters.

The Red Sox dispatched 563 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the prior season. The relief pitchers inherited 277 runners for the previous season and 30.7% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They tallied 49 saves over the course of last season and did not convert 27 of 76 save opportunities. The Red Sox bullpen accumulated a save rate of 64.5% and entered the game in 176 save situations. The relief pitchers finished with 95 holds for the prior year (7th in MLB). Red Sox pitchers came into the game with runners on base 177 times in addition to having 198 games in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox had 4,257 putouts for the prior year, in addition to 1,421 assists and 108 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .981 which was 29th in baseball, and had a total of 143 double plays. The Red Sox converted 65.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,771 innings on the field, ranking them 30th in MLB.

Wacha has taken the ball for 1,026 innings and has tallied 917 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Wacha (63-48 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.07 and he has faced 4,377 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.14 (472 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.331. He has surrendered 1,027 base knocks (9.0 hits per nine innings) with 339 walks.

Detroit tallied 179 long balls over the course of last year to go along with 675 runs batted in. They put up 236 doubles, while getting a free base 490 times as well as putting up 697 runs. The Detroit Tigers had a team on-base percentage of .308 and a team batting average of .242 last season. The Tigers had a team SLG% of .399 and they earned 4.30 runs per game (22nd in the league). They struck out on 1,514 occasions (4th in MLB) and earned 1,299 hits.

The Tigers finished with a team WHIP of 1.368 in addition to having a FIP of 4.60 as a squad during the previous year. They were sitting at 20th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,370. The Detroit pitching staff allowed 756 runs over the course of the prior season while holding a team ERA of 4.32 (681 earned runs given up). They earned a K/BB ratio of 2.20 (1,259 strikeouts vs 571 walks). They yielded 199 dingers and they yielded 4.79 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league).

With 149 save situations, the Tigers tallied 78 holds in addition to 24 blown saves. Detroit had relievers take the mound in 66 save opportunities and they earned 42 saves. Their relief pitchers came in 167 times in high leverage situations in addition to 155 occasions with runners on. Detroit relievers had an inherited score percentage of 35.9% out of 234 inherited base runners. They were ranked 11th in baseball with a save percentage of 63.6%, and they dispatched 577 relief pitchers to the mound last year.

In their 12,777 innings on the field, the Tigers had a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in the majors). The Detroit Tigers twisted 136 double plays and owned a fielding percentage of .986 (11th in MLB). The Tigers recorded 1,492 assists, 83 errors and a tally of 4,259 putouts last year.

Skubal (9-16 record in his career) holds a 4.57 earned run average while allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.47 and he has faced 768 batters during his career. He has given up a total of 92 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.252 and having a FIP of 5.2. During his pro baseball career, Skubal has surrendered 169 base knocks and he has 201 punch outs in 181 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit (-115)

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