Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction, 4/9/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, April 9, 2022

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+175) New York (-210)

The Boston Red Sox (92-70 last season) are headed to Yankee Stadium on Saturday where they will meet the New York Yankees (92-70 last year). The moneyline on this matchup has Boston at +175 and New York is sitting at -210. The over/under is 9. The starting pitchers are Nick Pivetta and Luis Severino.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox put up 5.1 runs per game, which put them at 4th in MLB. They tallied 829 runs while holding a team OBP of .328. The Red Sox accounted for 330 doubles as a squad and knocked 219 balls out of the stadium. They had 783 runs batted in and 1,434 base knocks in the previous season, while their team batting average was at .261. Boston had a slugging percentage of .449 and were rung up 1,386 times, while being walked on 512 occasions.

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Red Sox pitchers allowed 176 home runs and 749 runs in total (18th in MLB). Their pitching staff walked 546 opposing batters and their FIP was 3.95 as a team over the course of last year. Their K/BB ratio was 2.80 and the pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.38. The Red Sox finished with a team earned run average of 4.26 over the course of the prior season (15th in the league), and their staff rung up 1,527 batters.

The Red Sox had sent 563 relief pitchers to the mound during the previous year. The relief pitchers inherited 277 runners over the course of the prior season with 30.7% of those players crossed home plate. They accumulated 49 saves for the prior year and missed out on 27 out of their 76 chances to get a save. The Red Sox relievers had a save percentage of 64.5% and stepped onto the hill in 176 save situations. The relievers notched 95 holds over the course of last season (7th in the league). Red Sox bullpen pitchers came into the game with runners on 177 times and also had 198 outings in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox had a total of 4,257 putouts over the course of the prior season, in addition to 1,421 assists and 108 errors. Their fielding rate was at .981 which was 29th in baseball, and had a total of 143 double plays. The Red Sox turned 65.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,771 innings on the field, which had them sitting 30th in MLB.

Pivetta has taken the hill for 561 innings and has racked up 609 strikeouts in his career. Pivetta (30-38 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.52 while he has faced 2,431 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 5.16 (322 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.395. He has allowed 565 hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 218 walks.

New York tallied 222 home runs last season to go along with 666 runs batted in. They recorded 213 two-baggers, while walking 621 times and scoring 711 runs. The New York Yankees accounted for a team on-base percentage of .322 in addition to a batting average of .237 in the prior season. The Yankees had a team slugging % of .407 and they averaged 4.39 runs per game (19th in the league). They were called out on strikes on 1,482 instances (6th in baseball) and earned a total of 1,266 hits.

The New York pitching staff conceded 669 runs last year while holding a team ERA of 3.74 (596 earned runs surrendered). They surrendered 196 dingers and they surrendered 4.20 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB). The Yankees had a WHIP of 1.209 in addition to having a FIP of 3.90 as a staff for the previous season. They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.19 (1,569 strikeouts against 492 walks). They finished at 8th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,243.

New York relievers had an inherited score percentage of 27.9% of 222 inherited runners. Their relievers stepped onto the mound 219 times in high leverage situations in addition to 163 occasions with base runners. With 161 save situations, the Yankees compiled 83 holds and 26 blown saves. They ranked 10th in the league with a save percentage of 64.4%, and they dispatched 512 bullpen pitchers onto the field last year. New York called on relievers to enter the contest in 73 save opportunities and they tallied 47 saves.

Out of their 12,918 innings played, the Yankees had a efficiency on defense of 69.8% (14th in pro baseball). New York Yankees turned 115 double plays and had a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in baseball). The Yankees accrued 1,318 assists, 98 errors and had 4,306 putouts last year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Severino has allowed 462 hits while accumulating 597 strikeouts in 536 innings. He has given up a total of 204 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.144 and a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.95 and he has gone up against 2,200 hitters thus far in his career. Severino (43-26 career mark) has a 3.43 earned run average while allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-210)

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