Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/7/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Thursday, April 7, 2022

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+185) Atlanta (-215)

Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (88-73 last year) will try to beat the Cincinnati Reds (83-79 last season) on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has Cincinnati at +185 while Atlanta is coming in at -215. The total is 8. The expected starting pitchers are Tyler Mahle and Max Fried.

Cincinnati had a slugging percentage of .431 and were called out on strikes 1,425 times, while being walked on 553 occasions. They accumulated 756 runs batted in in addition to 1,352 hits over the course of the prior season, while their team batting average was at .249. The Reds hit 295 two-baggers as a unit and smacked 222 baseballs out of the park. They earned a total of 786 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .328. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds earned 4.9 runs per game, which was 9th in MLB.

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The Reds held a team earned run average of 4.41 over the course of the prior season (20th in MLB), and the staff rung up 1,524 batters. They walked 617 hitters and their FIP was 4.34 as a team last season. Their K/BB ratio was 2.47 and the pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.36. Reds pitchers surrendered 206 home runs and 760 total runs (20th in the league).

The Reds bullpen had a save rate of 61.2% and entered the game in 142 save situations. The relief pitchers inherited 248 runners last season with 38.7% of those runners ended up scoring. Reds bullpen pitchers entered the game with runners on 163 times as well as having 189 contests in high leverage situations. The Reds had sent 579 relievers to the hill for the previous season. The relief pitchers notched 73 holds in the prior season (21st in the league). They accumulated 41 saves over the course of last year and did not convert 26 of 67 save chances.

The Cincinnati Reds accounted for 4,303 putouts in the previous season, as well as 1,422 assists and 91 errors. Their fielding rate was at .984 which had them sitting 19th in pro baseball, and accumulated 125 double plays. The Reds turned 68.8% of balls in play into outs out of 12,909 innings on the diamond, which had them sitting 22nd in the majors.

Mahle has taken the hill for 489 frames and is sitting with 523 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Mahle (26-31 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.38 and he has faced 2,115 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.34 (236 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.339. He has surrendered 472 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 183 free passes.

The Braves had a slugging percentage of .435 and they averaged 4.91 runs per game (7th in the league). They had 269 doubles, while getting a free base 549 times and earning 790 runs. Atlanta was sitting with 239 home runs for the previous season to go along with 762 RBIs. They were called out on strikes on 1,453 occasions (11th in MLB) and tallied 1,307 base knocks. The Atlanta Braves held an on-base percentage of .319 and a batting average of .244 for the prior year.

The Braves had a team WHIP of 1.242 in addition to having a FIP of 4.09 as a staff in the prior season. Their K/BB ratio came in at 2.75 (1,417 strikeouts against 516 free passes). They had a ranking of 7th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,236. They surrendered 183 home runs and they allowed 4.19 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff given up 656 runs for the previous season while having an ERA of 3.88 (608 earned runs allowed).

Atlanta relievers had an inherited score percentage of 33.0% out of their 185 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers stepped onto the mound 221 times in high leverage situations and on 129 occasions with base runners. Finishing with 180 save situations, the Braves had 113 holds and 26 blown saves. They ranked 17th in the league holding a save rate of 60.6%, and they dispatched 581 relievers onto the field last season. Atlanta called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 66 save opportunities and they earned 40 saves.

In 12,696 innings on the diamond, the Braves accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (5th in MLB). The Atlanta Braves twisted 104 double plays and accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (3rd in professional baseball). The Braves accrued 1,483 assists, 72 errors and earned 4,232 putouts last season.

Thus far in his career, Fried has surrendered 411 base hits and he has 447 strikeouts in 447 innings. He has allowed 166 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.230 and a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.22 and he has faced 1,856 hitters in his MLB career. Fried (40-18 career record) holds a 3.34 earned run average and has conceded 8.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Atlanta (-215) and under 8 runs

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