Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 5/17/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Tuesday, May 17, 2022

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+150) Cleveland (-170)

The Cincinnati Reds (9-26) are en route to Progressive Field on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the Cleveland Guardians (16-17). The odds on this game have Cincinnati at +150 and Cleveland opens at -170. The total is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Connor Overton and Zach Plesac.

Cincinnati has a slugging % of .350 and have been rung up 318 times, while taking a walk on 106 occasions. They have compiled 137 runs batted in as well as 244 base knocks for the year, and their team batting average is at .216. The Reds have tallied 61 doubles as a unit and have smacked 29 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 141 runs while holding a team OBP of .291. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.0 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 17th in MLB.

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The Reds are sitting with a team earned run average of 6.04 for the year (30th in the league), and the staff has rung up 304 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 1.94 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.55. Reds pitchers have conceded 49 home runs and also 206 total runs (30th in MLB). They have walked 157 batters and their FIP sits at 5.00 as a team this year.

The Reds have dispatched 135 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relievers have inherited 70 base runners so far this season with 45.7% of those players ended up scoring. They have recorded 3 saves this year and have blown 2 of 5 save opportunities. The Reds relievers have compiled a save rate of 60.0% and has come into the game in 12 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 7 holds so far this year (30th in the league). Reds relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 41 times in addition to having 18 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Reds have turned 67.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,682 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 27th in MLB. The Cincinnati Reds have 894 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 256 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .990 which puts them in 4th in MLB, and have accumulated 25 double plays.

Overton (1-1 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.54 while facing 125 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 26 base hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 11 walks. His ERA is 3.06 (11 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.144. Overton has taken the mound for 32 innings and has racked up 23 K's in his pro baseball career.

The Guardians hold a slugging % of .401 and they are scoring 4.76 runs per contest (7th in MLB). They have hit 58 two-baggers, while taking a walk 104 times as well as recording 157 runs. Cleveland has 31 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 154 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 250 occasions (27th in baseball) and have 284 base hits. The Cleveland Guardians have recorded an on-base percentage of .317 and a team batting average of .251 on the season.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.216 and have a FIP of 4.04 as a staff on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.53 (263 strikeouts against 104 walks). They sit at 7th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 249. They have yielded 34 long balls and they surrender 4.71 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball). The Cleveland pitching staff have yielded 152 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.19 (135 earned runs allowed).

Cleveland bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 24.4% of 41 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 39 times in high leverage situations and also on 32 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 21 save situations, the Guardians have earned 9 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. They are currently ranked 6th in MLB holding a save rate of 72.7%, and they have dispatched 109 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. Cleveland has had relief pitchers enter the game in 11 save chances and they have tallied 8 saves.

The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 20 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (17th in pro baseball). The Guardians have recorded 286 assists, 18 errors and are sitting with 872 putouts for the year. In their 2,616 innings played, the Guardians have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.7% (7th in professional baseball).

In his career, Plesac has allowed 311 hits and he has 265 strikeouts in 346 frames. Plesac (23-17 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.00 earned run average and has given up 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 154 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.158 and having a FIP of 4.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and he has gone up against 1,422 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland (-170)

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