Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 5/4/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Wednesday, May 4, 2022

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+180) Milwaukee (-220)

American Family Field is where the Milwaukee Brewers (15-8) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (3-19) on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has the Reds at +180 while the Brewers are coming in at -220. The total is set at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Vladimir Gutierrez and Freddy Peralta.

The Reds have compiled 32 doubles as a squad and have hit 15 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .311 and have been called out on strikes 195 times, while drawing a walk on 59 occasions. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are knocking in 3.1 runs per game, which is 29th in baseball. They have 64 runs batted in and 140 base knocks so far this season, while their batting average is at .201. They have tallied 67 runs while having a team OBP of .271.

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The Reds are sitting with a team earned run average of 6.15 over the course of the season (30th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 181 hitters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 1.74 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.63. Reds pitchers have allowed 23 long balls and also 132 runs in total (30th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 104 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.66 as a unit on the season.

The Reds relief pitchers have a save rate of 60.0% and has come into the game in 9 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 43 base runners this year and 44.2% of those runners ended up scoring. Reds relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 24 times in addition to having 10 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 89 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The bullpen have 4 holds this year (30th in baseball). They have earned 3 saves for the season and have not converted 2 of 5 save opportunities.

The Cincinnati Reds have a tally of 558 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 162 assists and 8 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .989 which puts them in 8th in the majors, and have accumulated 16 double plays. The Reds have converted 65.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 1,674 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 30th in baseball.

Gutierrez has thrown 131 innings and has 99 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 5.08 (74 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.481. He has given up 133 base hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 61 free passes. Gutierrez (9-10 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 5.41 while he has faced 579 opposing hitters in the majors.

Milwaukee is sitting with 24 long balls this season to go along with 89 runs batted in. They have notched 34 doubles, while getting a free base 71 times and scoring 94 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have a team on-base percentage of .291 and a batting average of .218 on the campaign. The Brewers hold a slugging % of .369 and they are scoring 4.09 runs per contest (15th in MLB). They have been rung up on 207 occasions (8th in the league) and have earned 162 base hits.

The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.163 with a FIP of 3.06 as a squad on the year. They come in at 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 151. The Milwaukee pitching staff have yielded 75 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.01 (68 earned runs allowed). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.75 (234 strikeouts against 85 free passes). They have conceded 14 home runs and they concede 3.33 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league).

Milwaukee relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.8% out of their 37 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 33 times in high leverage situations in addition to 20 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 32 save situations, the Brewers have compiled 16 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. They are ranked 20th in the league holding a save rate of 68.8%, and they have sent 75 relievers to the mound on the campaign. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 16 save opportunities and they have come away with 11 saves.

In 1,827 innings played, the Brewers have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (9th in professional baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 14 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (11th in the majors). The Brewers have recorded 198 assists, 10 errors and are sitting with 609 putouts on the campaign.

Peralta (26-14 career mark) has a 3.93 earned run average while conceding 6.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.11 and he has faced 1,486 batters in his MLB career. He has allowed 155 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.158 and a FIP of 3.4. So far in his career, Peralta has conceded 258 hits while he has tallied 476 strikeouts in 355 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-220)

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