Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/16/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, May 16, 2022

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-105) Boston (-115)

The Boston Red Sox (13-20) will take on the Houston Astros (23-12) at Fenway Park on Monday. The odds on this game have the Astros at -105 while the Red Sox are priced at -115. The betting total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Jake Odorizzi and Garrett Whitlock.

The Astros have earned 56 doubles as a team and have hit 44 balls out of the stadium. Houston is slugging .401 and have been called out on strikes 277 times, while drawing a walk on 129 occasions. As a squad, the Houston Astros are notching 4.2 runs per game, which is 14th in baseball. They have earned 140 runs batted in in addition to 255 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .226. They have accumulated 143 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .308.

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The Astros are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.00 this season (3rd in baseball), and they have rung up 274 hitters. They have walked 94 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.50 as a team so far this season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.91 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.12. Astros pitchers have conceded 25 home runs and 111 total runs (3rd in baseball).

Astros relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 24 times and also have had 33 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 19 holds so far this year (14th in MLB). The Astros relievers have compiled a save rate of 72.7% and has come into the game in 30 save situations. They have recorded 8 saves for the year and have blown 3 of their 11 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 35 base runners so far this year with 28.6% of them ended up scoring. The Astros have sent 110 relievers to the hill this season.

The Houston Astros have earned a total of 901 putouts this season, in addition to 278 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .990 which is 3rd in baseball, and they have twisted 29 double plays. The Astros have converted 72.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,703 innings, which ranks them 4th in pro baseball.

Odorizzi has taken the ball for 1,173 frames and has totaled 1,103 K's during his career. Odorizzi (71-65 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.14 and he has faced 4,931 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.93 (513 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.241. He has given up 1,053 base hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 403 free passes.

The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an on-base percentage of .291 in addition to a team batting average of .236 on the campaign. They have struck out on 271 instances (20th in baseball) and have accounted for 264 base hits. Boston has compiled 20 long balls for the season as well as 124 RBIs. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .355 and they average 3.79 runs per contest (23rd in baseball). They have 70 doubles, while getting a free base 83 times as well as scoring 125 runs.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.183 in addition to having a FIP of 3.89 as a team this season. They rank 4th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 242. The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 131 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.64 (119 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio is 2.76 (293 strikeouts vs 106 walks). They have conceded 34 home runs and they allow 4.01 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league).

Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.4% of 70 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 49 times in high leverage situations and also on 50 occasions with runners on base. With 39 save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 24 holds and 9 blown saves. They are currently ranked 30th in the league holding a save percentage of 40.0%, and they have sent 132 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the season. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 15 save opportunities and they have walked away with 6 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 23 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (11th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 257 assists, 16 errors and are sitting with 884 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 2,652 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.8% (7th in the majors).

In his MLB career, Whitlock has allowed 79 base hits while accumulating 115 strikeouts in 98 innings. Whitlock (9-5 career win-loss mark) has earned a 2.02 ERA while giving up 7.3 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 22 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.061 and a FIP of 2.9. His K/BB ratio is 4.60 and he has faced 396 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-115)

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