Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/17/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, May 17, 2022

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-120) Boston (+100)

The Boston Red Sox (13-21) will try to defeat the Houston Astros (23-12) at Fenway Park on Tuesday. The moneyline on this matchup has Houston at -120 while Boston is opening at +100. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Jose Urquidy and Nathan Eovaldi.

Houston has a slugging percentage of .408 and have been called out on strikes 284 times, while drawing a walk on 132 occasions. They have accrued 147 RBI's in addition to 266 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average is .229. The Astros have tallied 56 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 48 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 151 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .309. As a squad, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 12th in baseball.

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Astros pitchers have given up 25 home runs in addition to 111 total runs (3rd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 98 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.46 as a unit so far this season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.88 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.12. The Astros hold a team earned run average of 2.91 on the year (3rd in the league), and they have struck out 282 hitters.

The Astros have dispatched 113 relievers to the mound so far this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 35 base runners over the course of the season and 28.6% of those players crossed home plate. They have compiled 8 saves so far this year and have blown 3 out of their 11 save opportunities. The Astros relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 72.7% and stepped onto the hill in 31 save situations. The relievers have accumulated 20 holds for the season (13th in the league). Astros pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 24 times as well as having 33 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Houston Astros have accumulated 928 putouts thus far, as well as 285 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .990 which is 2nd in professional baseball, and have 30 double plays. The Astros have turned 72.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,784 innings on the field, which has them ranked 4th in pro baseball.

Urquidy has taken the mound for 206 innings and has 166 punch outs thus far in his career. His earned run average is 3.66 (84 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.061. He has allowed 181 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 38 walks. Urquidy (13-6 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.13 while he has gone up against 827 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Red Sox hold a slugging % of .354 and they average 3.71 runs per game (22nd in the league). They have recorded 73 doubles, while getting a free base 86 times and earning 126 runs. Boston is sitting with 20 home runs on the year as well as 125 runs batted in. They have struck out on 281 occasions (20th in baseball) and have totaled 271 hits. The Boston Red Sox have compiled an on-base percentage of .290 as well as a batting average of .235 on the campaign.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.181 in addition to having a FIP of 4.01 as a staff on the season. They are sitting at 5th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 248. The Boston pitching staff have given up 138 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.75 (126 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.74 (299 strikeouts vs 109 free passes). They have conceded 38 homers and they allow 4.11 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB).

Boston has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 15 save chances and they have walked away with 6 saves. They are ranked 30th in the league holding a save percentage of 40.0%, and they have sent 135 relievers to the hill on the season. Their relievers have taken the field 50 times in high leverage situations in addition to 51 occasions with runners on. Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.0% out of 71 inherited base runners. Sitting with 39 save situations, the Red Sox have 24 holds in addition to 9 blown saves.

In their 2,724 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.3% (6th in professional baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 23 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 271 assists, 16 errors and have accounted for 908 putouts so far this year.

During his MLB career, Eovaldi has allowed 1,228 base hits while he has totaled 999 punch outs in 1,188 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 548 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.322 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.91 and he has faced 5,058 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. Eovaldi (62-66 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.15 ERA while giving up 9.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+100)

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