Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 5/11/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Wednesday, May 11, 2022

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-130) Minnesota (+110)

The Minnesota Twins (18-11) will go up against the Houston Astros (18-11) at Target Field on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Astros at -130 while the Twins are at +110. The over/under is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Jose Urquidy and Chris Archer.

As a team, the Houston Astros are earning 3.8 runs per game, which ranks them 23rd in the league. They are sitting with 110 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .297. The Astros have accrued 43 doubles as a team and have hit 36 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 108 runs batted in in addition to 205 hits this year, and their batting average sits at .217. Houston is slugging .383 and have been rung up 237 times, while drawing a walk on 105 occasions.

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The Astros are sitting with a team earned run average of 2.95 this year (3rd in the league), and they have struck out 231 hitters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.89 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.10. Astros pitchers have allowed 23 long balls in addition to 94 runs in total (4th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 80 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.58 as a squad this year.

Astros relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 21 times in addition to having 33 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have recorded 19 holds this year (11th in MLB). The Astros bullpen have a save percentage of 72.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 30 save situations. They have compiled 8 saves for the year and have missed out on 3 out of their 11 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 31 runners so far this year and 32.3% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Astros have sent 96 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Houston Astros are sitting with 769 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 239 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .989 which has them ranked 5th in MLB, and have a total of 26 double plays. The Astros have turned 73.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 2,307 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 2nd in baseball.

Urquidy (13-6 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.17 while he has gone up against 815 batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 178 base hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 38 walks. His earned run average is 3.67 (83 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.062. Urquidy has thrown 203 frames and is sitting with 163 strikeouts so far in his career.

Minnesota is sitting with 30 home runs so far this season to go along with 110 RBIs. They have hit 50 two-baggers, while walking 98 times and earning 117 runs. The Minnesota Twins have an OBP of .317 in addition to a team batting average of .239 so far this season. The Twins have a team slugging % of .390 and they are earning 4.03 runs per game (16th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 248 occasions (14th in the league) and have a total of 223 hits.

The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.118 in addition to having a FIP of 3.54 as a unit so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 3.40 (262 strikeouts vs 77 walks). They sit at 9th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 208. They have surrendered 30 homers and they give up 3.25 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Minnesota pitching staff have allowed 92 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.11 (88 earned runs relinquished).

Minnesota relievers hold an inherited score rate of 37.0% out of their 27 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 27 times in high leverage situations and on 18 occasions with base runners. With 26 save situations, the Twins have amassed 16 holds and 3 blown saves. They are ranked 16th in the league holding a save rate of 70.0%, and they have sent 91 relievers to the mound this season. Minnesota has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 10 save chances and they have tallied 7 saves.

Out of their 2,295 innings played, the Twins have a defensive efficiency of 71.6% (11th in baseball). The Minnesota Twins have gotten 21 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in the majors). The Twins have racked up 224 assists, 14 errors and have accumulated 765 putouts during this campaign.

During his pro baseball career, Archer has allowed 1,161 base hits and he has 1,390 strikeouts in 1,273 innings pitched. Archer (61-81 mark in his career) has earned a 3.87 earned run average while giving up 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 547 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.255 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.18 and he has faced 5,369 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (+110)

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