Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 4/28/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers

Date: Thursday, April 28, 2022

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-150) Texas (+130)

Globe Life Field is where the Texas Rangers (6-11) will try to beat the Houston Astros (8-9) on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has Houston at -150 while Texas is at +130. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Justin Verlander and Martin Perez.

Houston is slugging .358 and have struck out 138 times, while being walked on 57 occasions. They have accounted for 59 runs batted in and 118 base knocks on the year, and their batting average is at .209. The Astros have accrued 25 doubles as a unit and have knocked 19 balls out of the park. They have 61 runs and have an OBP of .285. As a squad, the Houston Astros are putting up 3.6 runs per game, which ranks them 23rd in the league.

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The Astros have compiled a team ERA of 3.60 on the season (15th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 136 batters. They have walked 57 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.83 as a squad on the year. Their K/BB ratio is 2.39 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.25. Astros pitchers have conceded 14 home runs in addition to 69 total runs (17th in the league).

The Astros relief pitchers have a save rate of 60.0% and has come into the game in 14 save situations. The relievers have inherited 27 base runners this year and 33.3% of them earned a run for their team. Astros bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 18 times in addition to having 22 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have dispatched 64 relievers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have racked up 9 holds over the course of the season (18th in the league). They have compiled 3 saves this year and have blown 2 of 5 chances to get a save.

The Astros have turned 71.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 1,353 innings on the field, ranking them 14th in pro baseball. The Houston Astros have earned a total of 451 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 135 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which has them sitting 9th in baseball, and have a total of 14 double plays.

Verlander has thrown 3,007 innings and has racked up 3,033 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Verlander (227-130 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.41 while he has faced 12,283 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.32 (1,109 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.132. He has surrendered 2,548 base knocks (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 855 walks.

The Rangers have a team SLG% of .340 and they are scoring 4.59 runs per game (7th in MLB). They have hit 23 two-baggers, while taking a walk 53 times and scoring 78 runs. Texas is sitting with 14 long balls this year as well as 73 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 127 occasions (28th in MLB) and have earned 131 hits. The Texas Rangers have accounted for an OBP of .295 and a batting average of .227 this season.

The Texas pitching staff have given up 85 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.89 (81 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 26 home runs and they surrender 5.13 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). The Rangers have a WHIP of 1.409 and have a FIP of 4.86 as a staff so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.26 (156 strikeouts vs 69 bases on balls). They come in at 25th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 141.

Texas relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of 24 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 15 times in high leverage situations and on 17 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 11 save situations, the Rangers have amassed 7 holds and also 3 blown saves. They rank 30th in baseball with a save percentage of 25.0%, and they have sent 74 relievers onto the field over the course of the season. Texas has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 4 save opportunities and they have walked away with 1 save.

The Texas Rangers have turned 14 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (19th in MLB). The Rangers have racked up 159 assists, 10 errors and have accounted for 447 putouts this season. Out of their 1,341 innings on the field, the Rangers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (24th in MLB).

During his career, Perez has surrendered 1,245 hits and he has 752 punch outs in 1,116 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 583 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.479 and having a FIP of 4.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.85 and he has gone up against 4,883 hitters thus far in his career. Perez (63-71 career record) has a 4.70 earned run average and has given up 10.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (-150)

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