Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction, 4/11/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Angels

Date: Monday, April 11, 2022

Location: Angel Stadium in Anaheim, CA

TV: Bally Sports SoCal

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+130) Los Angeles (-150)

Angel Stadium is where the Los Angeles Angels (77-85 last year) will play the Miami Marlins (67-95 last season) on Monday. The odds on this game have the Marlins at +130 while the Angels are priced at -150. The total has been set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Elieser Hernandez and Michael Lorenzen.

The Marlins hit 226 two-baggers as a unit and hit 158 balls out of the park. Miami had a slugging % of .372 and struck out 1,553 times, while drawing a walk on 450 occasions. As a squad, the Miami Marlins compiled 3.9 runs per outing, which had them sitting at 29th in MLB. They tallied 594 RBI's and 1,244 hits for the previous season, and their team batting average was at .233. They accounted for 623 runs scored and held an on-base percentage of .298.

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The Marlins had a team earned run average of 3.96 over the course of last year (11th in MLB), and their staff struck out 1,381 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 529 players from the other team and their FIP came in at 4.01 as a team last season. Their strikeout to walk ratio was at 2.61 and their pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.28. Marlins pitchers surrendered 162 home runs and also 701 runs in total (13th in the league).

The Marlins dispatched 596 relievers to the hill over the course of last year. The relief pitchers inherited 201 base runners over the course of last year with 36.3% of those players crossed the plate. They had 33 saves for the prior year and did not convert 25 of their 58 chances to save the game. The Marlins relievers had a save percentage of 56.9% and stepped onto the mound in 133 save situations. The relief pitchers tallied 75 holds in the previous season (19th in MLB). Marlins bullpen pitchers entered the game with players on base 132 times as well as having 185 games in high leverage situations.

The Miami Marlins accounted for 4,245 putouts over the course of the prior season, as well as 1,443 assists and 122 errors. Their fielding percentage held steady at .979 which was 30th in MLB, and they twisted 146 double plays. The Marlins transformed 68.9% of balls in play into outs out of 12,735 innings, which had them ranked 21st in pro baseball.

Hernandez (7-15 career mark) has earned a FIP of 5.26 and he has faced 968 batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 219 base hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 72 walks. His ERA is 4.67 (117 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.291. Hernandez has taken the hill for 225 innings and has racked up 217 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Angels had a team SLG% of .407 and they tallied 4.46 runs per game (17th in baseball). They had 265 doubles, while walking 464 times and putting up 723 runs. Los Angeles accounted for 190 long balls over the course of last year to go along with 691 runs batted in. They struck out on 1,394 occasions (16th in the league) and earned 1,331 hits. The Los Angeles Angels tallied an on-base percentage of .310 as well as a team batting average of .245 over the course of last season.

The Angels held a team WHIP of 1.383 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.25 as a staff over the course of last season. They were ranked 21st in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,373. The Los Angeles pitching staff given up 804 runs over the course of last year while holding an ERA of 4.69 (741 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio came in at 2.45 (1,453 strikeouts vs 592 free passes). They yielded 188 homers and they yielded 5.09 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball).

Wrapping up the year with 140 save situations, the Angels had 73 holds in addition to 26 blown saves. Los Angeles had relievers take the mound in 65 save opportunities and they converted 39 saves. Their relief pitchers took the field 173 times in high leverage situations in addition to 242 occasions with runners on base. Los Angeles bullpen pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 37.0% of 365 inherited base runners. They were sitting at 19th in the league holding a save rate of 60.0%, and they dispatched 562 relievers onto the diamond last year.

In 12,795 innings on the field, the Angels finished with a defensive efficiency of 68.0% (29th in MLB). Los Angeles Angels twisted 131 double plays and owned a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in baseball). The Angels racked up 1,419 assists, 88 errors and amassed 4,265 putouts for the previous season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Lorenzen has allowed 452 base knocks while totaling 406 strikeouts in 473 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 214 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.371 and a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.06 and he has faced 2,037 opposing batters so far in his career. Lorenzen (23-23 career win-loss mark) has a 4.07 earned run average while giving up 8.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+130)

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