Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/16/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, April 16, 2022

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-115) Boston (-105)

The Minnesota Twins (2-4) are on their way to Fenway Park on Saturday where they will play the Boston Red Sox (3-3). The moneyline on this contest has Minnesota at -115 and Boston is sitting at -105. The total has been set at 9.5. The starting pitchers will be Sonny Gray and Tanner Houck.

The Twins have earned 7 two-baggers as a team and have hit 9 balls out of the stadium. Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .362 and have been called out on strikes 60 times, while being walked on 16 occasions. As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are recording 3.3 runs/g, which puts them at 25th in baseball. They have 19 runs batted in in addition to 34 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate is at .181. They have accumulated 20 runs and have an on-base percentage of .256.

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Twins pitchers have given up 7 long balls and also 24 runs (15th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 31 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.72 as a team this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 1.55 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.35. The Twins have compiled a team ERA of 3.83 over the course of the season (13th in the league), and their staff has struck out 48 hitters.

The Twins have dispatched 24 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 7 base runners for the year with 57.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 0 saves so far this season and have missed out on 1 out of their 1 save opportunities. The Twins bullpen have a save percentage of 0.0% and has come into the game in 1 save situations. The bullpen have 0 holds so far this season (29th in baseball). Twins bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 5 times as well as having 3 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Minnesota Twins have accounted for 162 putouts this year, in addition to 48 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .968 which is 30th in the majors, and they have turned 2 double plays. The Twins have converted 73.4% of balls in play into outs out of 486 innings, which has them sitting 8th in professional baseball.

Gray (82-72 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.70 while he has faced 5,306 batters in the majors. He has given up 1,097 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 455 free passes. His ERA is 3.61 (510 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.220. Gray has taken the hill for 1,272 innings and has 1,225 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Boston Red Sox have a team on-base percentage of .287 and a batting average of .216 this year. They have struck out on 50 occasions (18th in the league) and have recorded 44 base hits. Boston has accounted for 5 long balls on the campaign as well as 26 runs batted in. The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .363 and they are recording 4.33 runs per outing (15th in baseball). They have hit 15 two-baggers, while getting a free base 19 times as well as earning 26 runs.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.264 in addition to having a FIP of 4.33 as a team on the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.00 (57 strikeouts vs 19 bases on balls). They come in at 21st in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 48. They have conceded 9 dingers and they allow 4.42 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have given up 26 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 4.08 (24 earned runs conceded).

Boston has had relievers take the mound in 4 save opportunities and they have earned 2 saves. They are ranked 18th in baseball with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 26 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 14 times in high leverage situations and on 12 occasions with runners on base. Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of 18 inherited base runners. With 8 save situations, the Red Sox have compiled 4 holds in addition to 2 blown saves.

Out of their 477 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.3% (19th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have turned 3 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in MLB). The Red Sox have accrued 38 assists, 3 errors and have accounted for 159 putouts for the season.

In his career, Houck has surrendered 69 hits and he has 111 K's in 89 frames. He has surrendered 31 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.142 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.36 and he has gone up against 367 batters in his career. Houck (4-5 career mark) is the owner of a 3.12 ERA while conceding 7.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-105)

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