Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 8/17/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Wednesday, August 17, 2022
Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-155) Cincinnati (+135)
The Philadelphia Phillies (64-51) are headed to Great American Ball Park on Wednesday where they will take on the Cincinnati Reds (45-69). The moneyline on this game has Philadelphia at -155 and Cincinnati is opening at +135. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Ranger Suarez and Nick Lodolo.
As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 4.6 runs/g, which has them at 7th in baseball. They have a total of 530 runs and hold an OBP of .312. The Phillies have accumulated 178 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 148 balls out of the park. They have 510 runs batted in and 972 hits on the year, while their average at the plate is .249. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .418 and have struck out 965 times, while being walked on 337 occasions.
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Phillies pitchers have allowed 105 long balls in addition to 462 runs in total (9th in the league). They have walked 327 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.61 as a team so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.06 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.21. The Phillies have an earned run average of 3.72 so far this season (8th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,001 batters.
Phillies relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 100 times and also have had 114 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have earned 55 holds so far this season (20th in the league). The Phillies relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 73.8% and has entered the game in 98 save situations. They have accumulated 31 saves so far this year and have blown 11 of their 42 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 148 base runners so far this season and 35.8% of those players ended up scoring. The Phillies have dispatched 369 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.
The Phillies have converted 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,180 innings on the diamond, ranking them 17th in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 3,060 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,013 assists and 50 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which has them ranked 4th in MLB, and they have twisted 98 double plays.
Suarez (23-13 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.59 and he has gone up against 1,172 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 259 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 94 free passes. His earned run average is 2.98 (93 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.256. Suarez has taken the mound for 281 frames and has accumulated 250 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.
Cincinnati has knocked in 106 HRs for the season and 461 RBIs. They have put up 176 doubles, while getting a free base 322 times and scoring 481 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for an OBP of .309 in addition to a batting average of .240 for the season. The Reds have a team slugging % of .376 and they are scoring 4.22 runs per game (20th in the league). They have struck out on 1,019 occasions (5th in baseball) and have recorded 905 hits.
The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 593 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 5.03 (560 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 155 homers and they concede 5.33 runs per 9 innings (28th in MLB). The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.414 and have a FIP of 4.65 as a team this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.32 (1,001 strikeouts vs 431 bases on balls). They rank 23rd in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 984.
With 87 save situations, the Reds have recorded 47 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 40 save chances and they have recorded 24 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 102 times in high leverage situations and on 117 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.3% of 178 inherited base runners. They are ranked 22nd in MLB holding a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 405 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.
The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 73 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (14th in pro baseball). The Reds have racked up 882 assists, 58 errors and have amassed 3,003 putouts on the season. In 9,009 innings on the diamond, the Reds have a efficiency on defense of 68.4% (25th in pro baseball).
Lodolo (3-4 career mark) has earned a 4.72 ERA while allowing 10.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.67 and he has gone up against 224 batters during his career. He has surrendered a total of 25 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.657 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. So far in his MLB career, Lodolo has surrendered 55 base hits while earning 64 strikeouts in 47 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-155)
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