Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 5/7/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, May 7, 2022

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+150) Cincinnati (-170)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (10-14) are traveling to Great American Ball Park on Saturday where they will try to beat the Cincinnati Reds (3-22). The odds on this game have the Pirates at +150 and the Reds are priced at -170. The total is 7. The pitchers taking the mound will be Mitch Keller and Robert Dugger.

As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are compiling 3.7 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have accounted for 89 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .300. The Pirates have accounted for 31 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 14 balls out of the park. They have accrued 80 runs batted in as well as 185 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate comes in at .233. Pittsburgh is slugging .338 and have struck out 212 times, while drawing a walk on 77 occasions.

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The Pirates are sitting with a team ERA of 4.67 for the season (28th in the league), and the staff has struck out 187 hitters. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.08 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.37. Pirates pitchers have conceded 23 long balls in addition to 126 total runs (28th in the league). They have walked 90 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.15 as a squad on the season.

The Pirates have sent 82 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relievers have inherited 31 runners for the season and 35.5% of them crossed home plate. They have accumulated 6 saves this season and have not converted 2 of their 8 chances to get a save. The Pirates bullpen have earned a save percentage of 75.0% and has come into the game in 20 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 10 holds so far this season (25th in MLB). Pirates relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 22 times as well as having 25 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Pirates have converted 69.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of 1,890 innings on the field, which has them ranked 23rd in professional baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have accumulated 630 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 213 assists and 22 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .975 which ranks 29th in professional baseball, and have a total of 16 double plays.

Keller has taken the ball for 194 innings and has 194 K's during his pro baseball career. Keller (7-21 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.25 while he has gone up against 888 batters in the majors. His ERA is 5.94 (128 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.696. He has allowed 239 base knocks (11.1 hits per nine innings) and has 90 free passes.

Cincinnati has accounted for 17 long balls on the season as well as 71 runs batted in. They have 35 doubles, while taking a walk 62 times and earning 74 runs. The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with a team OBP of .267 in addition to a batting average of .201 over the course of the season. The Reds hold a team slugging percentage of .316 and they score 3.08 runs per contest (29th in baseball). They have struck out on 223 instances (6th in MLB) and have 153 base hits.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.688 with a FIP of 4.98 as a team for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 1.64 (194 strikeouts against 118 walks). They have a ranking of 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 223. They have conceded 28 homers and they surrender 6.95 runs per 9 innings (30th in the league). The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 156 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 6.68 (150 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 9 save situations, the Reds have 4 holds and 2 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 5 save opportunities and they have earned 3 saves. Their relievers have come in 10 times in high leverage situations and also on 29 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 50.0% of 52 inherited base runners. They rank 25th in the league with a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 97 relievers to the hill this season.

Out of their 1,890 innings on the field, the Reds have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 65.4% (30th in MLB). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 17 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in the majors). The Reds have recorded 175 assists, 11 errors and have accounted for 630 putouts for the year.

During his MLB career, Dugger has surrendered 96 base hits and he has 55 strikeouts in 76 innings pitched. Dugger (0-6 career win-loss mark) has earned a 7.22 ERA and has surrendered 11.4 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 61 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.684 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.8. His K/BB ratio is 1.72 and he has faced 357 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+150)

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