San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/28/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, April 28, 2022

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-125) Cincinnati (+105)

The Cincinnati Reds (3-14) will play the San Diego Padres (11-7) at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. The odds on this game have San Diego at -125 and Cincinnati is at +105. The total has been set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Nick Martínez and Tyler Mahle.

As a squad, the San Diego Padres are scoring 4.2 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 13th in MLB. They have 76 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .320. The Padres have tallied 26 doubles as a team and have knocked 15 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 73 RBI's and 132 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average is at .228. San Diego is slugging .364 and have struck out 161 times, while taking a walk on 72 occasions.

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The Padres hold a team earned run average of 3.49 this season (13th in the league), and their staff has struck out 168 hitters. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.85 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.10. Padres pitchers have conceded 22 home runs and 67 runs (11th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 59 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.00 as a squad on the year.

Padres relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 13 times in addition to having 20 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 16 holds on the year (3rd in the league). The Padres relievers have a save rate of 62.5% and has entered the game in 25 save situations. They have accumulated 5 saves on the campaign and have blown 3 of their 8 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 21 runners for the year and 57.1% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Padres have dispatched 60 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The San Diego Padres have a tally of 480 putouts so far this season, in addition to 156 assists and 5 errors. Their fielding rate is at .992 which has them ranked 5th in baseball, and they have turned 16 double plays. The Padres have turned 74.8% of balls in play into outs in their 1,440 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 2nd in professional baseball.

Martinez (17-32 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 5.45 while facing 1,892 hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 470 base knocks (9.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 158 walks. His ERA is 4.75 (227 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.460. Martinez has taken the hill for 430 innings and has racked up 250 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for a team OBP of .261 and a team batting average of .189 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 158 occasions (8th in MLB) and have notched a total of 101 hits. Cincinnati has a total of 10 home runs so far this season as well as 47 runs batted in. The Reds hold a slugging percentage of .285 and they tally 2.88 runs per game (30th in the league). They have recorded 21 two-baggers, while getting a free base 45 times as well as putting up 49 runs.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.569 with a FIP of 4.41 as a pitching staff so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.91 (145 strikeouts against 76 walks). They are currently ranked 28th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 150. They have allowed 17 dingers and they relinquish 5.81 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB). The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 93 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 5.63 (90 earned runs relinquished).

Cincinnati has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 3 save opportunities and they have converted 3 saves. They are ranked 1st in MLB with a save rate of 100.0%, and they have dispatched 67 relievers to the mound on the campaign. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 8 times in high leverage situations and on 16 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 44.8% out of their 29 inherited base runners. Sitting with 7 save situations, the Reds have compiled 4 holds in addition to 0 blown saves.

In their 1,296 innings played, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 66.7% (27th in pro baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 10 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .995 (1st in baseball). The Reds have racked up 122 assists, 3 errors and have 432 putouts on the season.

During his pro baseball career, Mahle has allowed 492 base knocks and he has 542 strikeouts in 506 innings. He has conceded a total of 249 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.351 and a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.82 and he has faced 2,194 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. Mahle (27-33 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.43 earned run average and has surrendered 8.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-125)

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