San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 5/1/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Sunday, May 1, 2022

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-180) Pittsburgh (+155)

The San Diego Padres (14-7) are en route to PNC Park on Sunday where they will try to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates (8-12). The moneyline on this contest has San Diego at -180 while Pittsburgh is coming in at +155. The total has been set at 7. The expected starting pitchers are Joe Musgrove and Mitch Keller.

San Diego has a slugging % of .377 and have been called out on strikes 179 times, while taking a walk on 90 occasions. They have 95 runs batted in and 158 hits on the year, and their batting average is at .233. The Padres have compiled 31 two-baggers as a team and have hit 19 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 98 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .332. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are knocking in 4.7 runs per contest, which puts them at 6th in MLB.

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The Padres are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.51 for the year (14th in the league), and their staff has struck out 196 hitters. Their K/BB ratio is 2.84 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.14. Padres pitchers have given up 24 home runs and also 80 total runs (15th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 69 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.91 as a team on the year.

The Padres have dispatched 72 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 27 base runners this season with 51.9% of them earned a run for their team. They have compiled 8 saves this year and have blown 3 of their 11 chances to save the game. The Padres relievers have recorded a save percentage of 72.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 30 save situations. The bullpen have tallied 18 holds on the year (4th in MLB). Padres pitchers have come into the game with runners on 16 times as well as having 23 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Padres have converted 72.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 1,683 innings, which has them sitting 4th in professional baseball. The San Diego Padres have notched a total of 561 putouts on the campaign, as well as 185 assists and 9 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which has them ranked 11th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 20 double plays.

Musgrove has pitched in 703 innings and has earned 693 K's so far in his career. His ERA is 3.96 (309 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.181. He has allowed 652 base knocks (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 178 walks. Musgrove (43-47 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.79 and he has faced 2,931 batters during his time in the majors.

Pittsburgh is sitting with 11 home runs on the season to go along with 65 RBIs. They have recorded 25 doubles, while getting a free base 65 times and putting up 71 runs. The Pittsburgh Pirates hold a team on-base percentage of .298 and a batting average of .231 on the season. The Pirates have a team slugging percentage of .331 and they are scoring 3.55 runs per game (24th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 182 instances (8th in the league) and have accounted for 153 hits.

The Pirates have a team WHIP of 1.448 and have a FIP of 4.49 as a squad so far this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.85 (155 strikeouts against 84 walks). They are currently ranked 26th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 168. They have conceded 21 home runs and they give up 5.69 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have given up 110 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 5.12 (99 earned runs conceded).

Pittsburgh has called on relievers to enter the game in 7 save chances and they have recorded 5 saves. They sit at 15th in MLB with a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have sent 70 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 20 times in high leverage situations and also on 20 occasions with base runners. Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.1% out of 28 inherited runners. With 18 save situations, the Pirates have earned 9 holds in addition to 2 blown saves.

In 1,566 innings on the field, the Pirates have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (22nd in the majors). The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 14 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (22nd in baseball). The Pirates have recorded 173 assists, 13 errors and have accumulated 522 putouts so far this year.

During his pro baseball career, Keller has conceded 234 base knocks while totaling 189 strikeouts in 188 innings. He has conceded 127 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.723 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.10 and he has faced 865 batters during his MLB career. Keller (7-20 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 6.08 earned run average and has conceded 11.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+155)

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