Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/21/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, April 21, 2022

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-130) Boston (+110)

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (6-5) will meet the Toronto Blue Jays (6-5) on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has the Blue Jays at -130 and the Red Sox are priced at +110. The over/under is 9.5. The starting pitchers are Kevin Gausman and Tanner Houck.

The Blue Jays have accounted for 19 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 15 baseballs out of the park. Toronto owns a slugging percentage of .424 and have struck out 97 times, while being walked on 27 occasions. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are earning 3.9 runs per game, which puts them at 21st in MLB. They have 42 RBI's and 92 hits for the season, and their batting average is at .250. They have tallied 43 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .312.

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The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 4.22 on the year (22nd in MLB), and they have rung up 83 hitters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.52 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.19. Blue Jays pitchers have surrendered 13 home runs in addition to 47 runs in total (21st in MLB). They have walked 33 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.24 as a team so far this season.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 45 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relievers have inherited 15 runners over the course of the season and 33.3% of those runners crossed the plate. They have 6 saves for the season and have not converted 1 of 7 save chances. The Blue Jays bullpen have a save rate of 85.7% and has come into the game in 19 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 11 holds this year (4th in the league). Blue Jays pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 8 times and also have had 16 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Blue Jays have turned 72.8% of balls in play into outs in their 864 innings, which has them ranked 8th in baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have a tally of 288 putouts this season, as well as 96 assists and 6 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which has them ranked 16th in the majors, and they have twisted 9 double plays.

Gausman has taken the hill for 1,188 innings and has racked up 1,175 K's during his MLB career. Gausman (64-73 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.85 and he has faced 5,012 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.02 (531 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.283. He has given up 1,178 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has 346 free passes.

The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .379 and they average 4.27 runs per contest (12th in the league). They have recorded 25 doubles, while getting a free base 28 times as well as putting up 47 runs. Boston has compiled 10 home runs so far this year as well as 47 RBIs. They have been rung up on 90 instances (19th in MLB) and have accounted for 83 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have recorded an on-base percentage of .283 as well as a batting average of .228 on the season.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.265 and have a FIP of 4.10 as a unit on the season. They are currently ranked 12th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 82. The Boston pitching staff have conceded 44 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.86 (42 earned runs allowed). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.50 (105 strikeouts vs 42 free passes). They have conceded 13 long balls and they yield 4.04 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball).

Boston has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 5 save opportunities and they have earned 3 saves. They are currently ranked 23rd in the league holding a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 44 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 18 times in high leverage situations and also on 18 occasions with runners on base. Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.0% out of their 25 inherited base runners. With 12 save situations, the Red Sox have accrued 7 holds in addition to 2 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 9 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .989 (10th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 76 assists, 4 errors and have earned 294 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 882 innings played, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (13th in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Houck has surrendered 71 hits while accumulating 115 K's in 95 frames. Houck (5-5 career mark) has a 2.94 earned run average and has allowed 6.7 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 31 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.126 and a FIP of 2.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.19 and he has gone up against 386 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+110)

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