Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 8/17/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres
Date: Thursday, August 17, 2023
Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA
TV: Bally Sports San Diego
Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+100) San Diego (-120)
The Arizona Diamondbacks (60-60) are traveling to Petco Park on Thursday where they will go up against the San Diego Padres (57-63). The moneyline on this matchup has Arizona at +100 while San Diego is at -120. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Zac Gallen and Rich Hill.
The Diamondbacks have hit 217 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 133 balls out of the park. Arizona owns a slugging percentage of .420 and have been called out on strikes 926 times, while taking a walk on 390 occasions. As a squad, the Arizona Diamondbacks are putting up 4.7 runs per game, which has them at 12th in MLB. They have compiled 530 RBI's and 1,028 base knocks this year, while their batting average is at .254. They have earned 561 runs scored while having a team OBP of .323.
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The Diamondbacks have compiled a team earned run average of 4.66 for the year (25th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 991 batters. Diamondbacks pitchers have conceded 148 home runs in addition to 582 total runs (21st in MLB). They have walked 389 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.41 as a unit on the season. Arizona has conceded 1,038 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 548 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.55 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.35.
Diamondbacks relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 119 times in addition to having 117 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 55 holds this season (24th in MLB). The Diamondbacks relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 58.5% and has entered the game in 110 save situations. They have accumulated 31 saves on the year and have missed out on 22 of their 53 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 179 base runners for the year with 30.7% of those runners crossed home plate. The Diamondbacks have sent 395 relievers to the hill so far this season.
The Diamondbacks have turned 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,534 innings, which has them sitting at 16th in the majors. The Arizona Diamondbacks are sitting with 3,178 putouts this year, as well as 1,029 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .991 which is 1st in professional baseball, and have 99 double plays.
Gallen (34-27 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.44 while facing 2,482 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 480 base knocks (7.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 189 walks. His earned run average is 3.13 (213 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.091. Gallen has thrown 613 frames and has earned 674 punch outs so far in his career.
The San Diego Padres have an OBP of .327 as well as a team batting average of .240 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 996 occasions (18th in baseball) and have a total of 961 hits. San Diego has accounted for 152 HRs so far this year and 529 RBIs. The Padres hold a slugging percentage of .413 and they average 4.59 runs per contest (15th in the league). They have notched 210 doubles, while taking a walk 487 times as well as scoring 551 runs.
The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.275 in addition to having a FIP of 4.22 as a staff on the season. They rank 6th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 955. The San Diego pitching staff have relinquished 490 runs for the year while having an ERA of 3.83 (453 earned runs allowed). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (1,056 strikeouts vs 403 bases on balls). They have yielded 134 home runs and they yield 4.14 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB).
San Diego has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 50 save opportunities and they have earned 28 saves. They rank 25th in MLB with a save rate of 56.0%, and they have dispatched 380 relief pitchers to the hill this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 115 times in high leverage situations and also on 86 occasions with runners on. San Diego bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 38.6% out of their 132 inherited runners. With 116 save situations, the Padres have 65 holds and also 22 blown saves.
The San Diego Padres have turned 100 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (5th in pro baseball). The Padres have recorded 1,067 assists, 50 errors and have a tally of 3,195 putouts this year. In 9,585 innings played, the Padres have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (7th in pro baseball).
Thus far in his career, Hill has given up 1,205 base hits while he has totaled 1,406 K's in 1,384 innings. He has conceded a total of 610 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.254 and having a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.65 and he has gone up against 5,844 hitters in his career. Hill (89-71 record in his career) holds a 3.97 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per 9 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (+100)
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