Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 6/23/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, June 23, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-135) Cincinnati (+115)

The Cincinnati Reds (40-35) are welcoming the Atlanta Braves (47-26) at Great American Ball Park on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has Atlanta at -135 and Cincinnati is at +115. The betting total comes in at 11. The men taking the mound will be AJ Smith-Shawver and Luke Weaver.

Atlanta is slugging .479 and have struck out 604 times, while drawing a walk on 247 occasions. They have compiled 385 RBI's in addition to 671 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .269. The Braves have recorded 128 doubles as a team and have smacked 128 balls out of the park. They have racked up 399 runs scored while having a team OBP of .339. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are notching 5.5 runs per outing, which puts them at 3rd in baseball.

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The Braves hold a team earned run average of 3.74 for the season (4th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 692 batters. Braves pitchers have relinquished 77 long balls and 297 runs in total (4th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 232 batters and their FIP is 3.90 as a team this year. Atlanta has conceded 598 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 270 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.28.

Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 61 times and also have had 80 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 49 holds on the year (3rd in the league). The Braves relievers have earned a save percentage of 62.2% and has come into the game in 87 save situations. They have 23 saves this year and have blown 14 out of their 37 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 89 base runners for the season and 33.7% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Braves have dispatched 242 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Atlanta Braves have earned a total of 1,948 putouts this season, in addition to 612 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which ranks 25th in MLB, and have a total of 63 double plays. The Braves have turned 67.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 5,844 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 24th in pro baseball.

Smith-Shawver (1-0 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.48 and he has faced 52 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 9 hits (6.1 hits per nine innings) and has 4 free passes. His ERA is 2.03 (3 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 0.975. Smith-Shawver has taken the mound for 13 innings and has 11 strikeouts in his MLB career.

Cincinnati has knocked in 69 long balls on the year as well as 348 runs batted in. They have put up 136 two-baggers, while getting a free base 270 times as well as earning 362 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have earned an on-base percentage of .334 and a team batting average of .256 over the course of the season. The Reds hold a team slugging percentage of .404 and they are recording 4.83 runs per contest (9th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 661 occasions (10th in MLB) and have earned a total of 648 hits.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.435 in addition to having a FIP of 4.61 as a pitching staff for the season. They come in at 27th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 682. The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 376 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.86 (360 earned runs yielded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (651 strikeouts vs 274 walks). They have given up 97 dingers and they surrender 5.08 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league).

Sitting with 78 save situations, the Reds have amassed 39 holds and also 10 blown saves. Cincinnati has had relievers step onto the hill in 37 save chances and they have come away with 27 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 108 times in high leverage situations in addition to 98 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.7% of 143 inherited runners. They rank 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 73.0%, and they have dispatched 265 relievers onto the diamond this season.

In 5,997 innings played, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (28th in baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 56 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in professional baseball). The Reds have racked up 595 assists, 34 errors and have accumulated 1,999 putouts this season.

Thus far in his career, Weaver has allowed 554 base hits while he has earned 512 strikeouts in 507 innings. Weaver (25-38 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.98 ERA and has given up 9.8 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 281 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.416 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.10 and he has faced 2,229 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-135)

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