Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 6/17/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Saturday, June 17, 2023

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+115) Chicago (-135)

Wrigley Field is where the Chicago Cubs (31-37) will go up against the Baltimore Orioles (43-25) on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Orioles at +115 and the Cubs are sitting at -135. The over/under is 9. The men taking the mound are Kyle Gibson and Justin Steele.

Baltimore is slugging .427 and have struck out 563 times, while drawing a walk on 228 occasions. They have tallied 329 runs batted in as well as 585 hits so far this year, while their team batting average is at .254. The Orioles have accounted for 129 doubles as a team and have knocked 82 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 339 runs scored while having a team OBP of .323. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are compiling 5.0 runs per game, which is 6th in the league.

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The Orioles have compiled a team earned run average of 4.12 on the campaign (12th in MLB), and they have rung up 625 batters. Orioles pitchers have conceded 77 home runs and also 296 runs in total (10th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 211 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.01 as a squad this year. Baltimore has given up 600 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 280 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.96 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.32.

The Orioles have sent 240 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 135 runners on the campaign with 32.6% of those players earned a run for their team. They have compiled 22 saves this year and have blown 15 of 37 save opportunities. The Orioles bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 59.5% and has entered the game in 97 save situations. The relievers have tallied 58 holds so far this year (1st in the league). Orioles pitchers have entered the game with players on base 92 times in addition to having 93 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Orioles have transformed 67.5% of balls in play into outs out of 5,511 innings, which ranks them 27th in baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have amassed 1,837 putouts so far this season, in addition to 580 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .989 which has them sitting 3rd in MLB, and have a total of 69 double plays.

Gibson has taken the hill for 1,587 innings and has totaled 1,260 K's during his career. Gibson (97-94 career record) holds a FIP of 4.27 while he has faced 6,811 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.49 (791 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.381. He has given up 1,632 base knocks (9.3 hits per nine innings) with 559 walks.

The Cubs have a slugging percentage of .395 and they are recording 4.44 runs per outing (16th in the league). They have 96 two-baggers, while taking a walk 259 times as well as racking up 302 runs. Chicago has accounted for 74 home runs on the year as well as 291 RBIs. They have struck out on 632 occasions (6th in the league) and have 569 hits. The Chicago Cubs have accumulated an OBP of .329 in addition to a batting average of .248 for the season.

The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.276 in addition to having a FIP of 4.12 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.50 (563 strikeouts vs 217 free passes). They have a ranking of 6th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 546. They have yielded 70 dingers and they surrender 4.48 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). The Chicago pitching staff have given up 298 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 4.14 (275 earned runs allowed).

Chicago relievers have an inherited score percentage of 28.3% out of their 92 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 49 times in high leverage situations in addition to 55 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 46 save situations, the Cubs have compiled 30 holds and 6 blown saves. They are currently ranked 20th in MLB with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 212 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the season. Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 15 save opportunities and they have come away with 9 saves.

In 5,382 innings played, the Cubs have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.8% (11th in MLB). The Chicago Cubs have turned 64 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (14th in professional baseball). The Cubs have recorded 603 assists, 33 errors and have accounted for 1,794 putouts for the year.

In his pro baseball career, Steele has allowed 217 hits while he has totaled 243 K's in 244 innings pitched. Steele (14-13 record in his career) has earned a 3.28 ERA and has allowed 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 89 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.270 and a FIP of 3.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.61 and he has gone up against 1,031 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (-135)

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