Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 6/22/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Thursday, June 22, 2023

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Bally Sports North

The Boston Red Sox (39-35) are headed to Target Field on Thursday where they will attempt to defeat the Minnesota Twins (36-38). The pitchers who are expected to start are Nick Pivetta and Joe Ryan.

As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 5.2 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have 382 runs and hold an OBP of .337. The Red Sox have compiled 172 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 80 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 366 runs batted in and 672 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .265. Boston is slugging .434 and have been called out on strikes 579 times, while being walked on 251 occasions.

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The Red Sox hold a team ERA of 4.40 over the course of the season (19th in MLB), and they have rung up 633 batters. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 90 home runs and 352 runs in total (23rd in baseball). They have walked 217 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.28 as a unit this season. Boston has relinquished 631 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 320 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.92 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.30.

The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save rate of 74.1% and has come into the game in 62 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 66 runners so far this season with 30.3% of those players crossed the plate. Red Sox relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 42 times and also have had 59 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have dispatched 224 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have notched 35 holds for the season (21st in the league). They have recorded 20 saves this year and have blown 7 of their 27 chances to save the game.

The Red Sox have turned 68.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 5,886 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 19th in professional baseball. The Boston Red Sox have a tally of 1,962 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 646 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding rate is at .981 which ranks 29th in professional baseball, and they have turned 59 double plays.

Pivetta has taken the hill for 797 innings and is sitting with 844 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Pivetta (44-54 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.53 while going up against 3,453 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 5.02 (445 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.390. He has given up 791 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has 317 free passes.

The Minnesota Twins have an OBP of .310 and a batting average of .231 so far this season. They have been rung up on 762 occasions (1st in MLB) and have earned a total of 573 hits. Minnesota has knocked in 94 home runs this year and 302 runs batted in. The Twins have a slugging percentage of .399 and they average 4.28 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have recorded 120 doubles, while walking 250 times and recording 317 runs.

The Twins have a team WHIP of 1.190 and have a FIP of 3.74 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.40 (692 strikeouts against 212 walks). They come in at 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 577. They have given up 76 home runs and they relinquish 4.00 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Minnesota pitching staff have conceded 295 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.76 (277 earned runs relinquished).

Minnesota relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.2% out of 77 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 74 times in high leverage situations and on 55 occasions with runners on base. With 66 save situations, the Twins have accumulated 37 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. They are currently ranked 27th in MLB holding a save rate of 51.7%, and they have sent 218 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year. Minnesota has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 29 save opportunities and they have come away with 15 saves.

The Minnesota Twins have gotten 54 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in pro baseball). The Twins have accrued 576 assists, 40 errors and have notched a total of 1,989 putouts on the campaign. In their 5,967 innings played, the Twins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (8th in baseball).

During his career, Ryan has allowed 198 base knocks and he has 272 strikeouts in 258 frames. He has given up a total of 101 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.026 and having a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.06 and he has gone up against 1,040 hitters in his pro baseball career. Ryan (22-13 mark in his career) has a 3.52 ERA while allowing 6.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota

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