Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/26/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays
Date: Wednesday, July 26, 2023
Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL
TV: Bally Sports Sun
Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+120) Tampa Bay (-140)
The Miami Marlins (54-47) are hitting the road to Tropicana Field on Wednesday where they will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (61-42). The moneyline on this matchup has Miami at +120 and Tampa Bay is coming in at -140. The total comes in at 6.5. The men taking the mound are Sandy Alcantara and Zach Eflin.
As a team, the Miami Marlins are knocking in 4.1 runs per outing, which is 27th in MLB. They have tallied 414 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .322. The Marlins have hit 160 doubles as a unit and have smacked 91 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 394 RBI's as well as 909 base knocks so far this season, while their batting average comes in at .264. Miami has a slugging rate of .399 and have been rung up 806 times, while drawing a walk on 271 occasions.
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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.14 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.27. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 113 long balls and 436 runs in total (11th in the league). Miami has allowed 829 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 409 earned runs. The Marlins are sitting with a team ERA of 4.11 on the season (13th in the league), and their staff has struck out 958 hitters. They have walked 305 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.95 as a team for the year.
The Marlins have dispatched 346 relievers to the mound for the year. The relievers have inherited 149 runners for the year with 28.9% of them earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 28 saves so far this year and have missed out on 19 out of their 47 chances to save the game. The Marlins relievers have a save percentage of 59.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 113 save situations. The relievers have notched 66 holds this year (4th in MLB). Marlins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 103 times as well as having 134 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Miami Marlins have amassed 2,689 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 884 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them ranked 23rd in the majors, and they have twisted 88 double plays. The Marlins have turned 68.1% of balls in play into outs in their 8,067 innings, which has them ranked 25th in the majors.
Alcantara has taken the ball for 842 frames and has 744 strikeouts in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.34 (313 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.163. He has allowed 719 base knocks (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 261 free passes. Alcantara (37-52 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.75 while he has faced 3,450 batters in the major leagues.
Tampa Bay has recorded 149 long balls over the course of the season to go along with 517 RBIs. They have hit 180 doubles, while walking 330 times as well as notching 540 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated an OBP of .328 in addition to a team batting average of .256 so far this season. The Rays have a team SLG% of .446 and they earn 5.24 runs per contest (4th in the league). They have struck out on 886 occasions (13th in the league) and have recorded 882 base knocks.
The Tampa Bay pitching staff have given up 396 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.70 (374 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 107 long balls and they give up 3.92 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.184 in addition to having a FIP of 3.94 as a staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.10 (924 strikeouts vs 309 walks). They rank 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 769.
Sitting with 92 save situations, the Rays have accumulated 48 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. Tampa Bay has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 44 save chances and they have walked away with 27 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 101 times in high leverage situations and on 79 occasions with base runners. Tampa Bay relievers hold an inherited score rate of 23.1% out of their 121 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 16th in baseball with a save rate of 61.4%, and they have sent 334 relievers to the mound for the season.
In 8,196 innings on the field, the Rays have a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (2nd in pro baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 79 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in MLB). The Rays have racked up 932 assists, 41 errors and have accumulated 2,732 putouts so far this year.
During his MLB career, Eflin has given up 789 hits while tallying 665 K's in 771 innings. Eflin (47-50 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.33 ERA while giving up 9.2 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 371 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.251 and a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.78 and he has gone up against 3,245 hitters during his pro baseball career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-140)
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