Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 9/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals
Date: Thursday, September 21, 2023
Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO
TV: Bally Sports Midwest
Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+100) St. Louis (-120)
Busch Stadium is where the St. Louis Cardinals (67-84) will play the Milwaukee Brewers (85-66) on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Brewers at +100 while the Cardinals open at -120. The total comes in at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Wade Miley and Miles Mikolas.
Milwaukee has a slugging % of .381 and have been called out on strikes 1,325 times, while taking a walk on 551 occasions. They have 641 RBI's in addition to 1,195 hits for the year, while their team batting average sits at .238. The Brewers have compiled 228 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 153 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 672 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .318. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are knocking in 4.5 runs per game, which is 19th in the league.
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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.93 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.18. Brewers pitchers have relinquished 187 home runs and 614 total runs (2nd in baseball). Milwaukee has surrendered 1,133 base knocks (7.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 564 earned runs. The Brewers hold a team earned run average of 3.77 for the season (4th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,328 hitters. They have walked 453 opposing players and their FIP is 4.23 as a unit this season.
The Brewers relief pitchers have a save rate of 64.7% and stepped onto the hill in 166 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 159 runners for the season with 32.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. Brewers relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 116 times in addition to having 169 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have dispatched 483 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have a total of 97 holds on the campaign (4th in the league). They have compiled 44 saves so far this season and have blown 24 of 68 chances to save the game.
The Brewers have converted 72.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,105 innings, which has them sitting 1st in pro baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for 4,035 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,309 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which has them ranked 10th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 103 double plays.
Miley has taken the ball for 1,727 innings and has earned 1,350 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Miley (107-98 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.15 while he has faced 7,391 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.08 (783 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.361. He has surrendered 1,753 base knocks (9.1 hits per nine innings) with 598 free passes.
The Cardinals have a team slugging % of .422 and they average 4.51 runs per contest (17th in baseball). They have tallied 243 doubles, while walking 526 times and recording 681 runs. St. Louis has 204 home runs this year to go along with 660 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,240 occasions (21st in the league) and have tallied 1,297 base knocks. The St. Louis Cardinals have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .327 as well as a batting average of .252 on the season.
The St. Louis pitching staff have conceded 762 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 4.74 (701 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 161 home runs and they concede 5.15 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The Cardinals have a team WHIP of 1.451 with a FIP of 4.38 as a pitching staff so far this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.70 (1,138 strikeouts vs 497 free passes). They rank 29th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,434.
St. Louis relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.8% out of 258 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 156 times in high leverage situations and on 162 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 148 save situations, the Cardinals have accrued 85 holds and 27 blown saves. They are ranked 25th in the league with a save percentage of 55.7%, and they have sent 452 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season. St. Louis has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 61 save chances and they have earned 34 saves.
In their 11,982 innings played, the Cardinals have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.1% (29th in pro baseball). The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 139 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in baseball). The Cardinals have 1,487 assists, 59 errors and have earned 3,994 putouts so far this year.
So far in his career, Mikolas has allowed 893 base hits while he has totaled 654 strikeouts in 905 frames. Mikolas (52-52 career record) has earned a 3.93 earned run average while surrendering 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 395 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.186 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.61 and he has faced 3,749 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Louis (-120)
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