Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, 10/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies
Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023
Location: Coors Field in Denver, CO
TV: AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountain
Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-185) Colorado (+154)
The Colorado Rockies (58-102) host the Minnesota Twins (86-74) at Coors Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has Minnesota at -185 while Colorado is at +154. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Bailey Ober and Chase Anderson.
The Twins have accounted for 261 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 229 baseballs out of the park. Minnesota owns a slugging percentage of .427 and have been called out on strikes 1,629 times, while drawing a walk on 583 occasions. As a team, the Minnesota Twins are compiling 4.8 runs/g, which has them at 11th in the league. They have recorded 730 runs batted in and 1,314 base knocks so far this season, while their batting average is .243. They have racked up 762 runs and have an OBP of .325.
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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.51 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.20. Twins pitchers have conceded 189 long balls in addition to 650 runs in total (3rd in MLB). Minnesota has given up 1,279 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 616 earned runs. The Twins hold a team ERA of 3.87 this season (6th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,532 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 436 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.87 as a unit on the year.
The Twins bullpen have earned a save percentage of 58.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 145 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 160 base runners for the season with 28.1% of those players crossed home plate. Twins bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 116 times as well as having 183 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have sent 481 relievers to the mound this season. The relievers have recorded 78 holds so far this year (21st in the league). They have recorded 38 saves so far this year and have not converted 27 of 65 save opportunities.
The Twins have turned 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,888 innings, which has them ranked 10th in the majors. The Minnesota Twins have amassed 4,296 putouts on the year, as well as 1,269 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .988 which has them ranked 4th in MLB, and have accumulated 115 double plays.
Ober has taken the ball for 286 innings and has totaled 284 punch outs thus far in his career. Ober (13-12 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.98 while he has gone up against 1,161 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.68 (117 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.126. He has given up 263 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 59 walks.
The Rockies have a team slugging percentage of .404 and they score 4.45 runs per contest (18th in baseball). They have recorded 303 two-baggers, while getting a free base 440 times and scoring 712 runs. Colorado has a total of 158 HRs on the year and 678 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,515 instances (3rd in MLB) and have recorded 1,353 hits. The Colorado Rockies have tallied a team OBP of .311 as well as a batting average of .249 so far this season.
The Rockies have a team WHIP of 1.544 in addition to having a FIP of 5.23 as a squad on the season. They are currently ranked 30th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,577. The Colorado pitching staff have surrendered 941 runs this season while having an ERA of 5.65 (875 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.10 (1,104 strikeouts against 575 walks). They have yielded 230 long balls and they allow 6.08 runs per 9 innings (30th in MLB).
Colorado relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 38.3% out of their 261 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 149 times in high leverage situations in addition to 155 occasions with base runners. With 126 save situations, the Rockies have 58 holds in addition to 34 blown saves. They rank 29th in baseball holding a save percentage of 48.5%, and they have sent 534 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. Colorado has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 66 save opportunities and they have walked away with 32 saves.
The Colorado Rockies have gotten 169 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in MLB). The Rockies have racked up 1,493 assists, 81 errors and have a total of 4,182 putouts over the course of the season. In their 12,546 innings on the field, the Rockies have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 67.0% (30th in professional baseball).
Anderson (59-56 career record) holds a 4.35 ERA while giving up 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.45 and he has faced 4,422 hitters so far in his career. He has conceded 507 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.298 and a FIP of 4.8. So far in his pro baseball career, Anderson has given up 1,003 base knocks and he has 881 punch outs in 1,049 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Colorado (+154)
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