New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/18/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, June 18, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+110) Boston (-130)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (35-35) will play the New York Yankees (39-31) on Sunday. The line on this contest has the Yankees at +110 and the Red Sox are sitting at -130. The total is 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Luis Severino and James Paxton.

As a unit, the New York Yankees are earning 4.6 runs per game, which has them at 11th in baseball. They have earned a total of 319 runs and have an OBP of .301. The Yankees have accumulated 91 doubles as a team and have hit 105 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 308 RBI's and 540 hits on the campaign, while their batting average is sitting at .233. New York has a slugging rate of .416 and have struck out 582 times, while being walked on 211 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.67 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.22. Yankees pitchers have yielded 79 long balls and 286 total runs (6th in MLB). New York has allowed 536 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 260 earned runs. The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.73 so far this season (4th in the league), and their staff has rung up 619 batters. They have walked 232 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.25 as a squad this season.

Yankees bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 85 times as well as having 86 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 37 holds on the year (13th in the league). The Yankees relief pitchers have a save rate of 66.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 67 save situations. They have recorded 20 saves so far this year and have blown 10 of 30 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 121 runners this season with 38.8% of those runners ended up scoring. The Yankees have sent 222 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Yankees have transformed 71.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,643 innings on the field, which has them sitting 5th in MLB. The New York Yankees have a total of 1,881 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 618 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding rate is at .983 which is 22nd in pro baseball, and have a total of 55 double plays.

Severino has taken the ball for 663 frames and has accounted for 731 K's in his pro baseball career. Severino (50-30 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.53 while he has faced 2,720 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.50 (258 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.134. He has conceded 561 base knocks (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has 191 walks.

The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .430 and they tally 5.04 runs per outing (6th in MLB). They have hit 160 doubles, while getting a free base 235 times as well as recording 353 runs. Boston has recorded 76 home runs for the year to go along with 338 RBIs. They have struck out on 549 occasions (25th in baseball) and have accounted for 628 hits. The Boston Red Sox have earned a team OBP of .334 in addition to a batting average of .262 so far this season.

The Boston pitching staff have conceded 342 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.51 (310 earned runs conceded). They have given up 85 dingers and they relinquish 4.98 runs per 9 innings (24th in baseball). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.314 and have a FIP of 4.32 as a staff for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.60 (591 strikeouts against 208 bases on balls). They rank 23rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 604.

Boston has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 25 save chances and they have converted 18 saves. They are currently ranked 4th in baseball holding a save rate of 72.0%, and they have dispatched 215 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 58 times in high leverage situations in addition to 41 occasions with base runners. Boston relievers have an inherited score percentage of 30.8% out of their 65 inherited runners. With 58 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 33 holds and 7 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 55 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in the majors). The Red Sox have accrued 612 assists, 50 errors and have a tally of 1,854 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 5,562 innings played, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (22nd in MLB).

During his career, Paxton has conceded 711 hits while he has totaled 875 strikeouts in 786 innings pitched. Paxton (59-34 mark in his career) holds a 3.57 earned run average while giving up 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 312 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.210 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.63 and he has faced 3,263 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+110)

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