Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/14/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, April 14, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-180) Cincinnati (+155)

Great American Ball Park is the location where the Cincinnati Reds (4-7) will meet the Philadelphia Phillies (4-8) on Friday. The odds on this game have Philadelphia at -180 and Cincinnati is opening at +155. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Taijuan Walker and Connor Overton.

Philadelphia owns a slugging percentage of .453 and have been called out on strikes 119 times, while being walked on 29 occasions. They have accounted for 49 runs batted in and 118 base knocks over the course of the season, and their batting average is .282. The Phillies have accrued 29 doubles as a team and have hit 11 balls out of the park. They have 51 runs and have an on-base percentage of .330. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 22nd in MLB.

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The Phillies are sitting with a team earned run average of 5.28 so far this season (26th in the league), and their staff has struck out 106 hitters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.00 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.55. Phillies pitchers have relinquished 15 home runs in addition to 66 runs in total (24th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 53 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.83 as a unit for the season.

The Phillies have sent 46 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 25 base runners this year with 60.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 1 save on the year and have blown 2 out of their 3 save opportunities. The Phillies bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 33.3% and stepped onto the hill in 7 save situations. The bullpen have 4 holds this season (22nd in the league). Phillies pitchers have come into the game with players on base 14 times in addition to having 9 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a total of 312 putouts for the season, in addition to 100 assists and 3 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .993 which has them ranked 5th in baseball, and they have turned 8 double plays. The Phillies have turned 66.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 936 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 24th in the majors.

Walker has taken the mound for 907 innings and has earned 816 strikeouts so far in his career. Walker (54-51 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.20 while facing 3,812 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.91 (394 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.230. He has surrendered 824 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 292 free passes.

Cincinnati has hit 12 home runs this season and 48 runs batted in. They have put up 16 two-baggers, while getting a free base 42 times and racking up 49 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have an OBP of .327 in addition to a batting average of .242 on the campaign. The Reds hold a team SLG% of .402 and they average 4.45 runs per contest (20th in baseball). They have been rung up on 105 instances (17th in baseball) and have earned a total of 88 base hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have relinquished 55 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.92 (52 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 10 homers and they yield 5.21 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.514 and have a FIP of 3.89 as a unit over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.52 (111 strikeouts against 44 walks). They are sitting at 8th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 100.

Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 7 save chances and they have earned 3 saves. They are ranked 24th in the league with a save rate of 42.9%, and they have dispatched 41 relievers onto the field for the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 25 times in high leverage situations and also on 19 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 45.2% out of their 31 inherited runners. Sitting with 15 save situations, the Reds have accrued 7 holds and also 4 blown saves.

In 858 innings played, the Reds hold a defensive efficiency of 63.7% (29th in the majors). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 7 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (18th in MLB). The Reds have recorded 84 assists, 6 errors and have a total of 286 putouts so far this season.

So far in his MLB career, Overton has given up 49 base knocks and he has 38 K's in 56 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 27 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.225 and having a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.90 and he has gone up against 226 opposing batters thus far in his career. Overton (1-1 career record) is the owner of a 4.31 earned run average while surrendering 7.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+155)

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