Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 6/22/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, June 22, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

The Pittsburgh Pirates (34-38) are on their way to loanDepot park on Thursday where they will attempt to beat the Miami Marlins (42-32). The pitchers who are expected to start are Mitch Keller and Braxton Garrett.

Pittsburgh is slugging .395 and have struck out 596 times, while taking a walk on 260 occasions. They have accrued 286 runs batted in and 574 base knocks for the year, and their team batting average is at .243. The Pirates have tallied 131 doubles as a squad and have knocked 67 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 300 runs and have an on-base percentage of .321. As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are scoring 4.2 runs per game, which has them at 22nd in baseball.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.35 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.39. Pirates pitchers have relinquished 72 long balls and also 336 runs (16th in baseball). Pittsburgh has given up 617 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 305 earned runs. The Pirates have a team earned run average of 4.34 over the course of the season (18th in MLB), and they have struck out 618 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 263 batters and their FIP is 4.19 as a unit this season.

Pirates pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 62 times in addition to having 64 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 34 holds over the course of the season (25th in the league). The Pirates bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 67.9% and has come into the game in 63 save situations. They have accumulated 19 saves over the course of the season and have blown 9 of 28 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 97 runners on the year and 33.0% of them crossed the plate. The Pirates have sent 222 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a total of 1,897 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 579 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which puts them in 27th in the majors, and have 62 double plays. The Pirates have transformed 67.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 5,691 innings on the diamond, ranking them 27th in the majors.

Keller has pitched in 421 innings and has totaled 419 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.70 (220 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.476. He has given up 453 base hits (9.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 169 free passes. Keller (20-32 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.94 while facing 1,853 hitters in the major leagues.

The Marlins hold a team slugging percentage of .396 and they average 4.05 runs per game (26th in MLB). They have 111 two-baggers, while taking a walk 212 times as well as earning 300 runs. Miami has accounted for 69 home runs for the season to go along with 283 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 605 occasions (20th in the league) and are sitting with 647 base hits. The Miami Marlins have compiled an on-base percentage of .321 and a batting average of .260 on the year.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.278 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.88 as a staff this year. Their K/BB ratio is 9.50 (695 strikeouts vs 238 bases on balls). They sit at 13th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 602. They have yielded 76 dingers and they surrender 4.31 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have yielded 315 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.05 (296 earned runs relinquished).

Miami has called on relievers to take the mound in 33 save chances and they have walked away with 22 saves. They are ranked 13th in MLB holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 255 relievers to the hill for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 97 times in high leverage situations and on 76 occasions with runners on base. Miami bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.0% out of 116 inherited runners. Sitting with 81 save situations, the Marlins have accrued 48 holds and also 11 blown saves.

In 5,919 innings played, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (23rd in pro baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 67 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in baseball). The Marlins have accrued 652 assists, 45 errors and have a total of 1,973 putouts during this campaign.

Garrett (8-12 career win-loss mark) has a 4.02 ERA while giving up 9.3 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.29 and he has faced 856 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 89 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.355 and a FIP of 3.8. In his career, Garrett has conceded 207 base knocks while earning 207 K's in 199 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami

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