Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 5/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Spectrum SportsNet LA

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-168) San Diego (+142)

The Los Angeles Dodgers (26-13) are en route to Petco Park on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the San Diego Padres (20-20). The line on this contest has the Dodgers at -168 while the Padres are coming in at +142. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are James Paxton and Matt Waldron.

As a unit, the Los Angeles Dodgers are recording 5.5 runs per contest, which is 1st in MLB. They have earned a total of 214 runs and have an OBP of .354. The Dodgers have hit 75 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 54 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 207 RBI's in addition to 360 hits this year, and their batting average is at .270. Los Angeles has a slugging percentage of .454 and have struck out 320 times, while being walked on 167 occasions.

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The Dodgers have compiled a team ERA of 3.25 this year (3rd in the league), and their staff has rung up 328 hitters. Dodgers pitchers have conceded 39 home runs and also 140 runs in total (8th in baseball). They have walked 119 batters and their FIP is 3.88 as a unit this season. Los Angeles has relinquished 274 hits (7.0 per 9 innings) and 127 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.76 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.12.

Dodgers relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 25 times in addition to having 36 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 28 holds so far this season (4th in baseball). The Dodgers relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 72.2% and has come into the game in 46 save situations. They have 13 saves on the campaign and have not converted 5 of 18 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 30 base runners for the year with 33.3% of those players earned a run for their team. The Dodgers have sent 122 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Dodgers have converted 73.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,168 innings on the field, which has them ranked 1st in the majors. The Los Angeles Dodgers have amassed 1,056 putouts on the year, in addition to 359 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which ranks 6th in pro baseball, and they have turned 23 double plays.

Paxton has taken the hill for 1,835 innings and has accumulated 1,617 punch outs during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.77 (769 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.284. He has given up 1,813 hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 544 free passes. Paxton (93-96 career record) holds a FIP of 3.62 while he has faced 7,702 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Padres hold a slugging percentage of .405 and they score 4.95 runs per game (8th in the league). They have 63 two-baggers, while taking a walk 125 times as well as recording 198 runs. San Diego is sitting with 41 home runs for the season to go along with 189 RBIs. They have struck out on 297 instances (21st in MLB) and have earned a total of 355 hits. The San Diego Padres are sitting with a team OBP of .324 as well as a team batting average of .260 so far this season.

The San Diego pitching staff have given up 182 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 4.12 (162 earned runs allowed). They have surrendered 47 long balls and they concede 4.63 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.248 and have a FIP of 4.21 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.60 (338 strikeouts against 126 walks). They come in at 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 316.

San Diego relievers hold an inherited score rate of 34.8% out of 69 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 36 times in high leverage situations and on 47 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 36 save situations, the Padres have accumulated 19 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. They sit at 4th in baseball with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 135 relievers onto the diamond this year. San Diego has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 16 save opportunities and they have recorded 12 saves.

The San Diego Padres have gotten 32 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in the majors). The Padres have recorded 325 assists, 20 errors and have accumulated 1,063 putouts this year. In 3,189 innings on the field, the Padres have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (10th in MLB).

Waldron (5-11 career win-loss record) holds a 3.64 ERA and has conceded 7.0 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.82 and he has faced 480 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has conceded 46 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.214 and a FIP of 3.4. During his MLB career, Waldron has conceded 89 hits while he has earned 138 punch outs in 113 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-168)

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