Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 6/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, June 4, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (-182) Atlanta (+150)

The Atlanta Braves (27-31) welcome the Arizona Diamondbacks (28-31) at Truist Park on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Diamondbacks at -182 and the Braves are coming in at +150. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Merrill Kelly and Chris Sale.

Arizona is slugging .444 and have been rung up 439 times, while taking a walk on 212 occasions. They have 289 runs batted in as well as 509 hits so far this year, and their batting average comes in at .254. The Diamondbacks have accumulated 116 two-baggers as a team and have hit 80 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 296 runs and hold an OBP of .331. As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.0 runs per game, which has them at 5th in the league.

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The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.81 on the season (24th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 502 batters. Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed 74 home runs and also 306 runs in total (26th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 198 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.29 as a squad for the season. Arizona has conceded 505 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 281 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.54 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.34.

The Diamondbacks have dispatched 183 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 61 runners over the course of the season with 36.1% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 18 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 11 out of their 29 chances to get a save. The Diamondbacks relievers have earned a save percentage of 62.1% and stepped onto the hill in 62 save situations. The relief pitchers have 31 holds on the year (21st in baseball). Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 49 times and also have had 56 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Diamondbacks have turned 69.3% of balls in play into outs in their 4,731 innings, which has them sitting at 20th in MLB. The Arizona Diamondbacks have a tally of 1,577 putouts for the season, as well as 532 assists and 30 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them sitting 16th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 41 double plays.

Kelly (58-46 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.76 and he has gone up against 3,674 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 805 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 270 free passes. His earned run average is 3.82 (379 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.204. Kelly has taken the hill for 893 frames and has earned 808 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The Atlanta Braves have a team on-base percentage of .319 and a batting average of .246 for the year. They have struck out on 496 instances (12th in the league) and have 485 base hits. Atlanta has tallied 62 HRs this season to go along with 227 RBIs. The Braves hold a team SLG% of .389 and they average 4.07 runs per game (21st in baseball). They have notched 82 doubles, while taking a walk 199 times and scoring 236 runs.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.236 and have a FIP of 3.94 as a squad on the season. They sit at 6th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 445. The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 223 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.66 (208 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 8.90 (507 strikeouts against 188 walks). They have yielded 63 homers and they concede 3.92 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB).

Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.5% out of their 82 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 66 times in high leverage situations and on 62 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 46 save situations, the Braves have compiled 26 holds and 10 blown saves. They are ranked 27th in baseball holding a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 183 relievers to the hill for the season. Atlanta has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 20 save opportunities and they have earned 10 saves.

In their 4,608 innings on the field, the Braves have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (10th in baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 39 double plays and have a fielding rate of .989 (1st in pro baseball). The Braves have recorded 514 assists, 22 errors and have accumulated 1,536 putouts during this campaign.

Thus far in his career, Sale has given up 1,655 base knocks while he has earned 2,500 strikeouts in 2,025 innings pitched. Sale (141-86 record in his career) has earned a 3.04 earned run average and has conceded 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 684 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.051 and having a FIP of 3.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 5.27 and he has faced 8,165 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona (-182)

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