Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+102) New York (-122)

The New York Mets (20-9) will play the Arizona Diamondbacks (15-13) at Citi Field on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has Arizona at +102 and New York is at -122. The total is set at 9. The men taking the mound are Corbin Burnes and Kodai Senga.

The Diamondbacks have accrued 56 two-baggers as a team and have hit 40 baseballs out of the park. Arizona has a slugging rate of .445 and have been called out on strikes 207 times, while being walked on 121 occasions. As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are compiling 5.4 runs per contest, which ranks them 3rd in the league. They have recorded 146 runs batted in in addition to 230 base knocks this year, and their team batting average sits at .245. They have racked up 150 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .335.

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The Diamondbacks have a team earned run average of 4.38 on the campaign (24th in MLB), and they have rung up 253 hitters. Diamondbacks pitchers have yielded 32 home runs and also 138 total runs (24th in the league). They have walked 87 opposing players and their FIP is 3.88 as a unit so far this year. Arizona has conceded 233 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 123 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.91 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.26.

Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 23 times as well as having 26 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 16 holds this year (19th in MLB). The Diamondbacks relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 61.5% and have come into the game in 29 save situations. They have tallied 8 saves this season and have blown 5 of their 13 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 26 base runners for the season with 30.8% of those runners ended up scoring. The Diamondbacks have dispatched 84 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Diamondbacks have converted 69.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,277 innings, which has them ranked 22nd in professional baseball. The Arizona Diamondbacks have earned 759 putouts on the year, in addition to 251 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which has them sitting 25th in pro baseball, and they have turned 21 double plays.

Burnes has taken the mound for 929 innings and has earned 1,076 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Burnes (60-37 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.17 and he has gone up against 3,763 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.21 (332 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.073. He has given up 731 base hits (7.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 266 free passes.

The New York Mets have an OBP of .322 as well as a team batting average of .246 on the season. They have struck out on 216 occasions (25th in MLB) and have accounted for 239 base knocks. New York has hit 29 long balls over the course of the season to go along with 131 RBIs. The Mets hold a team slugging % of .410 and they tally 4.72 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have notched 56 two-baggers, while walking 97 times and scoring 137 runs.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.221 in addition to having a FIP of 2.88 as a staff on the year. They come in at 11th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 219. The New York pitching staff have conceded 87 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 2.62 (75 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.60 (276 strikeouts vs 96 free passes). They have given up 14 dingers and they allow 3.03 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league).

With 43 save situations, the Mets have amassed 29 holds and 4 blown saves. New York has had relievers step onto the mound in 14 save chances and they have walked away with 10 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 44 times in high leverage situations and also on 29 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.3% out of 41 inherited runners. They sit at 10th in the league with a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have sent 96 relievers onto the field so far this season.

The New York Mets have turned 23 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in pro baseball). The Mets have recorded 248 assists, 10 errors and have 774 putouts over the course of the season. In their 2,322 innings played, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (23rd in professional baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Senga has conceded 149 base knocks while totaling 236 strikeouts in 199 innings. Senga (16-8 career record) holds a 2.75 earned run average and has given up 6.7 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 61 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.184 and having a FIP of 2.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.71 and he has gone up against 825 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-122)

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