Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+106) New York (-128)

The New York Mets (21-9) are welcoming the Arizona Diamondbacks (15-14) at Citi Field on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has Arizona at +106 while New York is priced at -128. The betting total comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Zac Gallen and Kodai Senga.

As a squad, the Arizona Diamondbacks are recording 5.3 runs per game, which ranks them 3rd in baseball. They have earned a total of 153 runs while holding a team OBP of .332. The Diamondbacks have hit 59 doubles as a unit and have knocked 40 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 148 RBI's as well as 238 hits so far this year, and their average at the plate is .244. Arizona has a slugging percentage of .440 and have been called out on strikes 214 times, while drawing a walk on 122 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Picks

The Diamondbacks have a team earned run average of 4.52 so far this year (24th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 257 batters. Diamondbacks pitchers have yielded 35 long balls and 146 total runs (25th in the league). They have walked 90 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.03 as a team this year. Arizona has conceded 242 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) and 131 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.86 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Diamondbacks have sent 85 relievers to the hill this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 26 runners on the year with 30.8% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 8 saves this season and have not converted 5 of 13 chances to get a save. The Diamondbacks bullpen have a save rate of 61.5% and have come into the game in 29 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 16 holds on the campaign (19th in baseball). Diamondbacks pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 23 times in addition to having 26 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Diamondbacks have converted 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,349 innings, which has them ranked 21st in the majors. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accounted for 783 putouts so far this season, as well as 258 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .981 which has them ranked 25th in MLB, and have a total of 22 double plays.

Gallen (54-41 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.33 while he has faced 3,472 opposing hitters in the majors. He has given up 697 base knocks (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has 273 walks. His ERA is 3.38 (318 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.145. Gallen has taken the hill for 847 innings and has accumulated 920 punch outs during his career.

New York has hit 32 long balls for the season to go along with 139 runs batted in. They have recorded 57 two-baggers, while walking 100 times and scoring 145 runs. The New York Mets have recorded an OBP of .322 in addition to a team batting average of .248 on the campaign. The Mets hold a slugging % of .416 and they earn 4.83 runs per contest (9th in baseball). They have struck out on 220 occasions (26th in baseball) and have earned 248 base hits.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.213 and have a FIP of 2.85 as a pitching staff so far this season. They are sitting at 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 227. The New York pitching staff have relinquished 90 runs for the season while having an ERA of 2.60 (77 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.50 (283 strikeouts vs 97 free passes). They have conceded 14 HR's and they yield 3.03 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league).

With 43 save situations, the Mets have compiled 29 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 14 save chances and they have tallied 10 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 44 times in high leverage situations and on 29 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.3% of 41 inherited runners. They rank 13th in MLB with a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have dispatched 98 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the season.

The New York Mets have turned 23 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .990 (4th in MLB). The Mets have accrued 261 assists, 11 errors and have a tally of 801 putouts on the season. In 2,403 innings played, the Mets are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.9% (22nd in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Senga has allowed 149 base hits while totaling 236 strikeouts in 199 innings. He has given up 61 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.184 and having a FIP of 2.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.71 and he has faced 825 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Senga (16-8 career win-loss mark) has earned a 2.75 earned run average while giving up 6.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (+106)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here