Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+125) Philadelphia (-145)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (17-13) will attempt to defeat the Arizona Diamondbacks (16-14) on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has Arizona at +125 while Philadelphia is opening at -145. The total has been set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Brandon Pfaadt and Aaron Nola.

Arizona is slugging .437 and have been called out on strikes 223 times, while drawing a walk on 124 occasions. They have amassed 152 runs batted in as well as 246 hits this year, while their batting average is .244. The Diamondbacks have hit 62 doubles as a unit and have hit 40 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 157 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .330. As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are putting up 5.2 runs per game, which puts them at 4th in baseball.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.66 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29. Diamondbacks pitchers have yielded 37 long balls in addition to 149 runs in total (25th in baseball). Arizona has allowed 249 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 134 earned runs. The Diamondbacks have compiled a team ERA of 4.47 on the campaign (24th in the league), and the staff has struck out 263 batters. They have walked 99 batters and their FIP sits at 4.16 as a team on the season.

The Diamondbacks have sent 90 relievers to the hill for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 29 runners on the campaign and 31.0% of those players ended up scoring. They have 9 saves over the course of the season and have blown 5 of their 14 save opportunities. The Diamondbacks relief pitchers have a save percentage of 64.3% and have entered the game in 34 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 19 holds over the course of the season (13th in MLB). Diamondbacks pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 25 times and also have had 30 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 810 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 267 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which has them sitting 23rd in MLB, and they have turned 23 double plays. The Diamondbacks have transformed 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,430 innings on the field, which has them ranked 18th in pro baseball.

Pfaadt has taken the hill for 312 innings and is sitting with 308 K's during his career. Pfaadt (19-20 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.74 while he has faced 1,323 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.81 (167 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.280. He has allowed 326 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has 74 free passes.

The Phillies hold a slugging % of .385 and they have an average of 4.60 runs per outing (12th in baseball). They have 45 two-baggers, while taking a walk 124 times as well as scoring 138 runs. Philadelphia has accounted for 27 long balls for the season to go along with 129 RBIs. They have struck out on 241 occasions (22nd in baseball) and have earned 254 base knocks. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned an OBP of .336 in addition to a team batting average of .251 on the campaign.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.306 in addition to having a FIP of 3.58 as a pitching staff for the year. They rank 22nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 260. The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 132 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.01 (119 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio is 10.00 (297 strikeouts against 89 free passes). They have conceded 33 home runs and they concede 4.45 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball).

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 44.0% out of their 25 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 32 times in high leverage situations and also on 18 occasions with runners on. With 34 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 17 holds and 8 blown saves. They sit at 26th in baseball with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 97 bullpen pitchers to the hill this year. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 16 save opportunities and they have earned 8 saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 21 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (10th in the majors). The Phillies have recorded 250 assists, 13 errors and have 803 putouts this season. In 2,409 innings played, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 67.1% (27th in professional baseball).

Nola (104-84 career record) holds a 3.74 earned run average while allowing 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.19 and he has faced 6,785 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 688 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.143 and a FIP of 3.7. During his MLB career, Nola has allowed 1,460 base knocks while tallying 1,816 strikeouts in 1,656 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona (+125)

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