Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Sunday, July 27, 2025

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (-275) Pittsburgh (+220)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (42-61) will compete against the Arizona Diamondbacks (50-53) at PNC Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has Arizona at -275 and Pittsburgh opens at +220. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Zac Gallen and Paul Skenes.

The Diamondbacks have recorded 186 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 147 baseballs out of the park. Arizona owns a slugging percentage of .446 and have struck out 807 times, while taking a walk on 365 occasions. As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.1 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have 510 runs batted in and 882 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate sits at .253. They have accounted for 522 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .329.

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The Diamondbacks hold a team ERA of 4.58 over the course of the season (25th in MLB), and they have rung up 866 hitters. Diamondbacks pitchers have surrendered 131 home runs and 508 total runs (25th in MLB). They have walked 330 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.29 as a unit so far this season. Arizona has given up 893 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 466 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.62 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.33.

The Diamondbacks have dispatched 310 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 106 base runners this season and 34.9% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 28 saves this year and have blown 18 of 46 chances to save the game. The Diamondbacks relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 60.9% and have entered the game in 102 save situations. The bullpen have 53 holds so far this season (21st in the league). Diamondbacks relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 82 times in addition to having 92 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Diamondbacks have converted 69.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,250 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 22nd in professional baseball. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accounted for 2,750 putouts this season, in addition to 900 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which puts them in 17th in pro baseball, and have earned 81 double plays.

Gallen has taken the ball for 936 innings and has racked up 1,001 punch outs in his career. His ERA is 3.59 (373 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.165. He has given up 787 base knocks (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 304 walks. Gallen (60-48 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.53 and he has gone up against 3,851 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have tallied an on-base percentage of .301 as well as a team batting average of .232 on the year. They have been rung up on 902 occasions (7th in baseball) and have notched a total of 789 base knocks. Pittsburgh has accumulated 68 home runs this year to go along with 338 runs batted in. The Pirates hold a slugging percentage of .342 and they have an average of 3.40 runs per game (30th in MLB). They have put up 142 doubles, while taking a walk 319 times and putting up 350 runs.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 412 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.84 (387 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 98 dingers and they concede 4.09 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball). The Pirates hold a team WHIP of 1.211 in addition to having a FIP of 3.90 as a team so far this season. Their K/BB ratio is 7.70 (776 strikeouts vs 297 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 7th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 802.

Pittsburgh relievers hold an inherited score rate of 34.0% out of 150 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 99 times in high leverage situations and on 94 occasions with runners on base. With 84 save situations, the Pirates have tallied 45 holds and also 16 blown saves. They are currently ranked 25th in MLB with a save percentage of 56.8%, and they have sent 313 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. Pittsburgh has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 37 save opportunities and they have walked away with 21 saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 80 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in pro baseball). The Pirates have accrued 878 assists, 46 errors and have earned a total of 2,723 putouts on the season. In 8,169 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 71.5% (2nd in MLB).

During his career, Skenes has given up 179 base hits while accumulating 307 strikeouts in 260 frames. He has surrendered 56 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 0.931 and a FIP of 1.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.87 and he has faced 1,006 opposing batters during his career. Skenes (16-11 career record) has a 1.94 earned run average and has conceded 6.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Arizona (-275)

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