Arizona Diamondbacks vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 8/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Sacramento Athletics

Date: Friday, August 1, 2025

Location: Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (-130) Sacramento (+110)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (51-58) are on their way to Sutter Health Park on Friday where they will attempt to beat the Sacramento Athletics (48-63). The line on this matchup has Arizona at -130 and Sacramento is coming in at +110. The over/under has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Merrill Kelly and Jorge Lopez.

As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 4.8 runs per outing, which puts them at 5th in MLB. They have 528 runs while holding a team OBP of .323. The Diamondbacks have hit 191 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 149 balls out of the stadium. They have 516 RBI's and 914 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate sits at .248. Arizona has a slugging % of .436 and have been rung up 861 times, while drawing a walk on 377 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.65 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.33. Diamondbacks pitchers have surrendered 139 home runs in addition to 540 total runs (25th in the league). Arizona has surrendered 949 base knocks (8.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 494 earned runs. The Diamondbacks have a team ERA of 4.59 on the year (25th in MLB), and they have rung up 905 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 341 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.29 as a team for the season.

Diamondbacks pitchers have come into the game with players on base 85 times in addition to having 94 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have recorded 53 holds over the course of the season (22nd in baseball). The Diamondbacks relievers have recorded a save rate of 61.7% and have come into the game in 103 save situations. They have accumulated 29 saves so far this season and have blown 18 of their 47 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 109 base runners this season and 34.9% of them crossed the plate. The Diamondbacks have sent 324 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are sitting with 2,903 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 957 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which puts them in 18th in MLB, and have accumulated 85 double plays. The Diamondbacks have converted 69.0% of balls in play into outs out of 8,709 innings on the field, which ranks them 22nd in baseball.

Kelly has taken the ball for 952 innings and has accounted for 865 strikeouts during his career. Kelly (62-50 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.69 while facing 3,909 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.74 (396 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.195. He has allowed 848 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) with 290 walks.

Sacramento is sitting with 151 home runs on the campaign as well as 467 runs batted in. They have tallied 187 doubles, while taking a walk 344 times and earning 482 runs. The Sacramento Athletics have earned a team on-base percentage of .316 as well as a team batting average of .250 this year. The Athletics have a SLG% of .427 and they earn 4.34 runs per outing (18th in MLB). They have been rung up on 956 instances (6th in the league) and have earned a total of 948 hits.

The Sacramento pitching staff have allowed 599 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 5.03 (549 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 161 home runs and they allow 5.48 runs per 9 innings (29th in baseball). The Athletics have a team WHIP of 1.403 and have a FIP of 4.78 as a squad so far this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.20 (891 strikeouts against 391 bases on balls). They sit at 28th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 988.

With 89 save situations, the Athletics have accumulated 47 holds and 17 blown saves. Sacramento has had relievers take the mound in 42 save chances and they have come away with 25 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 100 times in high leverage situations and also on 115 occasions with base runners. Sacramento bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.1% out of their 162 inherited runners. They are ranked 21st in baseball with a save rate of 59.5%, and they have dispatched 344 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the season.

The Sacramento Athletics have turned 76 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in pro baseball). The Athletics have recorded 822 assists, 67 errors and have accounted for 2,949 putouts so far this season. In 8,847 innings played, the Athletics have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (21st in professional baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Lopez has allowed 594 base hits while totaling 485 K's in 557 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 329 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.455 and a FIP of 5.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.24 and he has gone up against 2,454 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Lopez (30-43 career record) holds a 5.31 ERA and has conceded 9.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Sacramento (+110)

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