Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

Date: Monday, July 7, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+126) San Diego (-152)

Petco Park is the site where the San Diego Padres (46-40) will play the Arizona Diamondbacks (43-44) on Monday. The moneyline on this game has the Diamondbacks at +126 while the Padres are at -152. The total is 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Merrill Kelly and Nick Pivetta.

As a team, the Arizona Diamondbacks are compiling 5.2 runs per game, which has them at 3rd in MLB. They have notched a total of 451 runs while having a team OBP of .328. The Diamondbacks have hit 152 two-baggers as a team and have hit 130 balls out of the stadium. They have recorded 441 RBI's and 750 base knocks so far this season, while their batting average sits at .254. Arizona owns a slugging percentage of .449 and have been called out on strikes 683 times, while taking a walk on 306 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.63 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.34. Diamondbacks pitchers have relinquished 113 home runs and 447 total runs (27th in baseball). Arizona has allowed 753 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 408 earned runs. The Diamondbacks hold a team ERA of 4.73 so far this year (25th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 751 batters. They have walked 286 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.29 as a unit for the year.

Diamondbacks relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 75 times in addition to having 87 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 50 holds this year (13th in MLB). The Diamondbacks relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 60.5% and stepped onto the hill in 96 save situations. They have earned 26 saves on the year and have blown 17 of 43 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 96 base runners this year with 34.4% of them crossed the plate. The Diamondbacks have sent 273 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 2,329 putouts on the campaign, as well as 765 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which has them sitting 17th in baseball, and they have turned 66 double plays. The Diamondbacks have converted 69.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,987 innings on the diamond, ranking them 22nd in professional baseball.

Kelly has taken the hill for 928 innings and has earned 847 punch outs thus far in his career. Kelly (60-48 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.73 and he has gone up against 3,816 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.79 (391 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.201. He has given up 834 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) with 281 walks.

San Diego has tallied 73 home runs this season as well as 328 runs batted in. They have recorded 127 two-baggers, while walking 276 times as well as racking up 352 runs. The San Diego Padres hold an OBP of .314 and a team batting average of .245 for the year. The Padres have a team SLG% of .374 and they have an average of 4.09 runs per game (23rd in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 605 occasions (29th in the league) and have a total of 700 base hits.

The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 341 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.68 (310 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 86 homers and they surrender 4.04 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball). The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.236 and have a FIP of 3.84 as a team so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (746 strikeouts vs 282 free passes). They come in at 4th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 656.

San Diego relievers have an inherited score percentage of 35.6% out of 135 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 119 times in high leverage situations and also on 96 occasions with base runners. With 98 save situations, the Padres have earned 57 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. They are ranked 4th in the league holding a save rate of 72.5%, and they have dispatched 300 bullpen pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. San Diego has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 40 save chances and they have walked away with 29 saves.

The San Diego Padres have gotten 60 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (19th in professional baseball). The Padres have 652 assists, 42 errors and have accounted for 2,277 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 6,831 innings on the field, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (8th in baseball).

Pivetta (65-73 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.63 earned run average while conceding 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.11 and he has gone up against 4,771 opposing batters during his MLB career. He has given up 579 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.293 and a FIP of 4.6. So far in his career, Pivetta has surrendered 1,055 base knocks while he has earned 1,246 strikeouts in 1,126 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (+126)

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