Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/16/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, May 16, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+132) Boston (-160)

The Atlanta Braves (21-22) are en route to Fenway Park on Friday where they will attempt to beat the Boston Red Sox (22-23). The moneyline on this game has the Braves at +132 while the Red Sox are at -160. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Chris Sale and Garrett Crochet.

Atlanta has a slugging % of .381 and have been called out on strikes 366 times, while being walked on 143 occasions. They have 162 RBI's in addition to 349 hits for the year, and their batting average sits at .240. The Braves have earned 62 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 44 balls out of the park. They have earned 170 runs scored and have an OBP of .312. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are knocking in 4.0 runs per contest, which puts them at 22nd in baseball.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.61 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.24. Braves pitchers have given up 49 home runs in addition to 169 runs in total (8th in baseball). Atlanta has surrendered 328 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 159 earned runs. The Braves have compiled a team ERA of 3.76 over the course of the season (11th in MLB), and they have rung up 373 batters. They have walked 143 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.05 as a team over the course of the season.

The Braves relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 47.1% and have come into the game in 38 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 59 runners on the year with 30.5% of those players crossed the plate. Braves relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 46 times in addition to having 56 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 135 relievers to the mound so far this season. The bullpen have earned 21 holds on the year (22nd in baseball). They have compiled 8 saves for the season and have blown 9 of 17 save opportunities.

The Athletics have amassed 1,142 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 391 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which is 9th in MLB, and have earned 32 double plays. The Braves have turned 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 3,426 innings on the field, which ranks them 9th in professional baseball.

Sale (139-86 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.01 and he has gone up against 8,091 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,644 base knocks (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 468 walks. His earned run average is 3.06 (682 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.053. Sale has thrown 2,005 innings and is sitting with 2,478 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .421 and they earn 4.91 runs per contest (6th in MLB). They have recorded 82 doubles, while taking a walk 153 times and scoring 221 runs. Boston has recorded 56 home runs so far this season to go along with 211 RBIs. They have been rung up on 416 instances (2nd in the league) and have earned 401 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have accumulated an OBP of .326 and a batting average of .255 this year.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.305 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.75 as a squad for the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.40 (376 strikeouts against 134 free passes). They rank 27th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 392. They have conceded 42 dingers and they concede 4.60 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball). The Boston pitching staff have conceded 206 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 4.00 (179 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 35 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 13 holds and also 11 blown saves. Boston has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 21 save opportunities and they have recorded 10 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 52 times in high leverage situations and on 38 occasions with base runners. Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 37.5% out of 48 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 27th in the league holding a save rate of 47.6%, and they have sent 139 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the season.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 38 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .976 (30th in baseball). The Red Sox have 402 assists, 39 errors and have accumulated 1,211 putouts on the season. In their 3,633 innings on the field, the Red Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (29th in professional baseball).

Crochet (13-21 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.01 earned run average and has allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.82 and he has gone up against 1,136 hitters so far in his career. He has given up a total of 92 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.138 and a FIP of 3.0. Thus far in his career, Crochet has conceded 219 hits while he has tallied 359 strikeouts in 275 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (-160)

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