Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 7/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Tuesday, July 29, 2025

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+126) Kansas City (-152)

Kauffman Stadium is the site where the Kansas City Royals (52-54) will attempt to beat the Atlanta Braves (44-60) on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has the Braves at +126 and the Royals are sitting at -152. The total is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Erick Fedde and Seth Lugo.

Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .389 and have struck out 896 times, while drawing a walk on 360 occasions. They have earned 413 runs batted in and 847 hits for the season, while their average at the plate is at .242. The Braves have tallied 151 doubles as a team and have hit 112 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 426 runs scored and have an OBP of .317. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 4.1 runs per game, which has them at 22nd in MLB.

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The Braves have a team earned run average of 4.10 on the year (19th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 938 batters. Braves pitchers have conceded 121 home runs and 442 total runs (14th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 343 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.03 as a team this year. Atlanta has conceded 813 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 415 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.73 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Braves have sent 332 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relievers have inherited 139 runners on the campaign and 39.6% of them earned a run for their team. They have compiled 14 saves so far this year and have missed out on 16 out of their 30 chances to get a save. The Braves relief pitchers have a save percentage of 46.7% and stepped onto the hill in 67 save situations. The relievers have earned 37 holds on the campaign (30th in the league). Braves bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 103 times and also have had 102 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Athletics have earned a total of 2,735 putouts this year, in addition to 890 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .990 which has them sitting 2nd in baseball, and have a total of 70 double plays. The Braves have turned 70.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,205 innings on the field, which has them ranked 13th in MLB.

Fedde (33-52 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.81 and he has gone up against 3,184 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has allowed 761 hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 290 walks. His earned run average is 4.88 (397 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.435. Fedde has thrown 732 innings and has earned 569 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

The Royals hold a team slugging % of .381 and they are recording 3.54 runs per game (29th in baseball). They have notched 181 doubles, while getting a free base 246 times and scoring 372 runs. Kansas City has 89 home runs over the course of the season as well as 366 runs batted in. They have struck out on 720 occasions (29th in baseball) and have totaled 859 base hits. The Kansas City Royals are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .299 as well as a batting average of .244 so far this year.

The Royals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.221 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.84 as a staff for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.20 (850 strikeouts vs 311 bases on balls). They sit at 9th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 828. They have conceded 106 home runs and they allow 3.80 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB). The Kansas City pitching staff have allowed 394 runs this season while having an ERA of 3.50 (363 earned runs surrendered).

With 96 save situations, the Royals have amassed 52 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. Kansas City has called on relievers to take the mound in 43 save chances and they have come away with 29 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 114 times in high leverage situations in addition to 102 occasions with base runners. Kansas City relievers hold an inherited score rate of 31.0% out of 142 inherited base runners. They are ranked 7th in the league with a save percentage of 67.4%, and they have dispatched 342 relievers to the hill for the season.

Out of their 8,400 innings on the field, the Royals are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.0% (8th in baseball). The Kansas City Royals have gotten 81 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in professional baseball). The Royals have racked up 933 assists, 47 errors and have accumulated 2,800 putouts so far this year.

In his pro baseball career, Lugo has conceded 846 hits while accumulating 928 punch outs in 960 innings. Lugo (63-45 career mark) is the owner of a 3.33 ERA while allowing 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 355 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.146 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.65 and he has gone up against 3,938 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+126)

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