Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, June 23, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+172) New York (-210)

The Atlanta Braves (34-39) are traveling to Citi Field on Monday where they will meet the New York Mets (45-30). The odds on this game have Atlanta at +172 while New York is sitting at -210. The total has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Spencer Schwellenbach and Paul Blackburn.

Atlanta has a slugging % of .386 and have been called out on strikes 620 times, while being walked on 256 occasions. They have tallied 294 runs batted in as well as 605 hits this season, while their batting average is at .245. The Braves have recorded 101 doubles as a team and have hit 78 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 307 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .319. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.2 runs/g, which has them at 19th in baseball.

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The Braves are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.66 over the course of the season (11th in the league), and the staff has struck out 669 hitters. Braves pitchers have allowed 79 home runs and 283 total runs (8th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 232 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.80 as a unit over the course of the season. Atlanta has given up 551 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 263 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.88 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.21.

The Braves have dispatched 226 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 105 base runners so far this year with 32.4% of those players crossed home plate. They have compiled 10 saves on the season and have blown 12 of 22 chances to save the game. The Braves relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 45.5% and have come into the game in 49 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 27 holds on the season (30th in MLB). Braves relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 77 times in addition to having 75 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Athletics have amassed 1,939 putouts so far this season, in addition to 646 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .989 which puts them in 4th in the majors, and they have turned 51 double plays. The Braves have converted 70.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 5,817 innings on the diamond, ranking them 10th in professional baseball.

Schwellenbach has taken the ball for 219 innings and has earned 219 punch outs in his career. His ERA is 3.32 (81 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.035. He has allowed 188 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 39 walks. Schwellenbach (13-11 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.27 and he has gone up against 884 hitters during his time in the majors.

New York has accumulated 93 home runs so far this season as well as 324 RBIs. They have hit 122 doubles, while taking a walk 272 times and putting up 333 runs. The New York Mets have earned an on-base percentage of .328 in addition to a batting average of .245 this year. The Mets have a SLG% of .416 and they have an average of 4.44 runs per game (11th in the league). They have been rung up on 585 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have tallied 613 hits.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.260 with a FIP of 3.51 as a squad on the season. They are sitting at 7th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 571. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 265 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.05 (227 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.80 (652 strikeouts against 272 bases on balls). They have yielded 54 dingers and they concede 3.57 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league).

New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 30.7% of 114 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 97 times in high leverage situations and on 77 occasions with runners on. With 86 save situations, the Mets have 50 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. They sit at 21st in baseball with a save percentage of 61.1%, and they have sent 234 relievers onto the diamond this season. New York has called on relievers to take the mound in 36 save chances and they have walked away with 22 saves.

The New York Mets have turned 61 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in pro baseball). The Mets have recorded 678 assists, 36 errors and have a total of 2,007 putouts on the season. Out of their 6,021 innings on the field, the Mets are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.1% (15th in the majors).

During his pro baseball career, Blackburn has surrendered 488 base knocks while he has tallied 337 K's in 441 frames. Blackburn (22-29 career record) holds a 4.92 ERA while giving up 10.0 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 241 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.415 and a FIP of 4.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.48 and he has faced 1,910 hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (-210) and under 8 runs

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