Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/25/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+132) New York (-160)

Citi Field is the site where the New York Mets (46-33) will meet the Atlanta Braves (36-41) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has Atlanta at +132 and New York opens at -160. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Didier Fuentes and Clay Holmes.

The Braves have compiled 108 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 81 balls out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .385 and have struck out 654 times, while drawing a walk on 268 occasions. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.2 runs/g, which puts them at 22nd in the league. They have compiled 309 runs batted in as well as 639 base knocks so far this year, and their batting average sits at .245. They have tallied 322 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .318.

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The Braves have an ERA of 3.65 this season (9th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 696 hitters. Braves pitchers have given up 82 home runs in addition to 296 total runs (7th in baseball). They have walked 245 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.81 as a unit so far this year. Atlanta has conceded 583 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 276 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.84 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.22.

Braves bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 81 times as well as having 77 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 30 holds for the season (30th in baseball). The Braves bullpen have a save percentage of 47.8% and have come into the game in 53 save situations. They have accumulated 11 saves so far this season and have not converted 12 out of their 23 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 110 base runners for the year with 32.7% of those runners crossed the plate. The Braves have dispatched 236 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Braves have turned 70.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,123 innings on the field, which ranks them 9th in baseball. The Athletics are sitting with 2,041 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 683 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .989 which has them sitting 3rd in baseball, and they have turned 55 double plays.

Fuentes has taken the mound for 5 innings and has 3 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Fuentes (0-1 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 7.09 while he has faced 22 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 7.20 (4 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.400. He has given up 6 base hits (10.8 hits per 9 innings) with 1 free passes.

The Mets hold a team slugging % of .419 and they have an average of 4.42 runs per contest (13th in the league). They have put up 124 doubles, while walking 280 times and scoring 349 runs. New York has compiled 104 home runs on the season as well as 340 RBIs. They have struck out on 616 instances (21st in MLB) and have notched a total of 645 hits. The New York Mets have recorded a team on-base percentage of .325 as well as a team batting average of .244 on the year.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.276 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.54 as a unit so far this season. They come in at 8th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 611. The New York pitching staff have conceded 289 runs this season while having an ERA of 3.20 (250 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.80 (688 strikeouts against 286 walks). They have surrendered 58 homers and they allow 3.70 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball).

New York has called on relievers to enter the game in 36 save opportunities and they have earned 22 saves. They are ranked 20th in the league holding a save percentage of 61.1%, and they have dispatched 248 relievers to the hill this season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 100 times in high leverage situations and also on 82 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.1% out of 122 inherited runners. Sitting with 87 save situations, the Mets have 51 holds in addition to 14 blown saves.

The New York Mets have turned 63 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .987 (13th in professional baseball). The Mets have 713 assists, 38 errors and have earned 2,109 putouts over the course of the season. In 6,327 innings played, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (18th in MLB).

Holmes (31-26 career record) has a 3.58 earned run average and has allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.35 and he has gone up against 1,806 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has conceded 167 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.288 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. During his career, Holmes has conceded 357 base knocks and he has 433 strikeouts in 420 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (+132)

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