Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, June 26, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+110) New York (-130)

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (46-34) will go up against the Atlanta Braves (37-41) on Thursday. The line on this matchup has Atlanta at +110 and New York is sitting at -130. The total is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Grant Holmes and Griffin Canning.

The Braves have tallied 108 doubles as a team and have smacked 81 baseballs out of the stadium. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .385 and have struck out 654 times, while drawing a walk on 268 occasions. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.2 runs/g, which has them sitting at 22nd in the league. They have amassed 309 runs batted in as well as 639 base knocks on the campaign, and their team batting average sits at .245. They have notched a total of 322 runs scored and have an OBP of .318.

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The Braves are sitting with a team ERA of 3.65 for the season (9th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 696 batters. Braves pitchers have yielded 82 home runs and also 296 runs (7th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 245 hitters and their FIP is 3.81 as a unit over the course of the season. Atlanta has surrendered 583 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 276 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.22.

The Braves bullpen have a save percentage of 47.8% and have come into the game in 53 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 110 base runners for the season with 32.7% of those players crossed the plate. Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 81 times in addition to having 77 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 236 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The bullpen have accumulated 30 holds on the campaign (30th in the league). They have recorded 11 saves on the season and have not converted 12 of their 23 chances to get a save.

The Braves have transformed 70.8% of balls in play into outs out of 6,123 innings, which has them sitting 9th in professional baseball. The Athletics have 2,041 putouts thus far, as well as 683 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .989 which has them sitting 3rd in baseball, and have earned 55 double plays.

Holmes has pitched in 153 innings and has tallied 167 K's in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.64 (62 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.208. He has surrendered 131 base hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 54 free passes. Holmes (6-7 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.59 while he has gone up against 634 opposing hitters in the majors.

New York has compiled 104 HRs on the season as well as 340 runs batted in. They have recorded 124 doubles, while walking 280 times as well as scoring 349 runs. The New York Mets have tallied an on-base percentage of .325 in addition to a team batting average of .244 so far this year. The Mets have a slugging percentage of .419 and they tally 4.42 runs per contest (13th in the league). They have struck out on 616 occasions (21st in MLB) and have a total of 645 base hits.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.276 in addition to having a FIP of 3.54 as a staff on the campaign. They come in at 8th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 611. The New York pitching staff have conceded 289 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.20 (250 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.80 (688 strikeouts vs 286 walks). They have given up 58 home runs and they surrender 3.70 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB).

Sitting with 87 save situations, the Mets have earned 51 holds and 14 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 36 save opportunities and they have tallied 22 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 100 times in high leverage situations and on 82 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.1% of 122 inherited base runners. They are ranked 20th in the league holding a save rate of 61.1%, and they have dispatched 248 bullpen pitchers onto the field over the course of the season.

Out of their 6,327 innings played, the Mets have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (18th in professional baseball). The New York Mets have turned 63 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in professional baseball). The Mets have recorded 713 assists, 38 errors and have earned a total of 2,109 putouts on the campaign.

During his pro baseball career, Canning has surrendered 563 base hits and he has 550 strikeouts in 581 innings. Canning (32-37 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.68 ERA while allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 302 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.344 and a FIP of 4.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.52 and he has gone up against 2,493 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+110)

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