Atlanta Braves vs New York Prediction, 12/31/1969 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, August 13, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+162) New York (-196)

Citi Field is where the New York Mets (63-55) will meet the Atlanta Braves (51-67) on Wednesday. The odds on this game have the Braves at +162 and the Mets are priced at -196. The over/under comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Carlos Carrasco and David Peterson.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 4.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 21st in the league. They are sitting with 499 runs while holding a team OBP of .318. The Braves have hit 173 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 133 balls out of the park. They have 482 runs batted in as well as 969 base knocks for the year, and their team batting average is sitting at .242. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .392 and have been called out on strikes 1,025 times, while being walked on 423 occasions.

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The Braves have compiled a team ERA of 4.21 this season (21st in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,039 hitters. Braves pitchers have allowed 133 home runs and also 517 total runs (18th in the league). They have walked 393 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.05 as a team this season. Atlanta has given up 946 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 489 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.64 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.28.

Braves relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 123 times in addition to having 120 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 48 holds this year (27th in the league). The Braves relievers have recorded a save rate of 54.3% and have come into the game in 83 save situations. They have compiled 19 saves this season and have blown 16 of their 35 save chances. The relievers have inherited 163 runners over the course of the season with 38.7% of those runners crossed the plate. The Braves have sent 381 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Braves have converted 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 9,402 innings on the field, which has them ranked 12th in the majors. The Athletics have accounted for 3,134 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,016 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .990 which is 2nd in MLB, and have earned 77 double plays.

Carrasco has thrown 1,684 innings and has accumulated 1,694 K's during his MLB career. Carrasco (112-105 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.14 and he has faced 7,058 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.20 (786 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.266. He has given up 1,667 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 465 walks.

The New York Mets have accounted for an OBP of .318 in addition to a batting average of .239 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 949 occasions (19th in the league) and have recorded 938 hits. New York has recorded 147 home runs for the year as well as 498 runs batted in. The Mets have a team SLG% of .406 and they tally 4.35 runs per contest (16th in baseball). They have put up 184 doubles, while walking 408 times as well as putting up 513 runs.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.310 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.90 as a unit on the year. They rank 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 950. The New York pitching staff have given up 483 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 3.70 (430 earned runs given up). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (1,003 strikeouts vs 420 bases on balls). They have yielded 108 dingers and they concede 4.16 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB).

New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.0% out of their 188 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 148 times in high leverage situations in addition to 127 occasions with runners on. With 132 save situations, the Mets have earned 78 holds and 20 blown saves. They are ranked 15th in the league with a save rate of 63.0%, and they have sent 390 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 54 save chances and they have earned 34 saves.

Out of their 9,414 innings on the field, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (17th in MLB). The New York Mets have turned 87 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in professional baseball). The Mets have accrued 1,068 assists, 57 errors and have accounted for 3,138 putouts for the year.

During his career, Peterson has given up 546 base knocks while he has accumulated 576 K's in 587 innings. He has surrendered 250 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.342 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.38 and he has faced 2,500 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. Peterson (35-29 career record) is the owner of a 3.83 earned run average while allowing 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+162)

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